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Araguari vs Araxa

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2021
Araguari Logo

Araguari

1 - 5
FT
Araxa Logo

Araxa

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2021 game between Araguari and Araxa finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Araxa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Araguari
20%
Draws
80%
Araxa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Araxa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Araxa come out ahead of Araguari on wins alone.
  • Model gives Araxa a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Araguari Clean Sheet 16%
Araxa Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araguari Araxa
Matches Played 16 22
Wins 0 11
Draws 2 7
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 0.19 1.32
Goals Conceded 3.94 0.64
Expected Goals (xG) 0.26 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2024 Mineiro 3
Araguari vs Araxa
0:0
Sep 18, 2024 Mineiro 3
Araxa vs Araguari
0:0
Oct 16, 2021 Mineiro 3
Araguari vs Araxa
1:5
Sep 25, 2021 Mineiro 3
Araxa vs Araguari
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araguari 10 / 100
Araxa 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araguari Araxa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araxa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Araguari scored in 19% of their last 16 outings.

Defensive concern: Araxa conceded in 50% of 22 recent games.

Araxa's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Araguari VS Araxa
0.13 Goals Scored 0.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Araguari

(Home)
19 Oct
Paracatu
5 : 0
Araguari
12 Oct
Araguari
0 : 7
Essube
05 Oct
Nacional Uberaba
4 : 0
Araguari
28 Sept
Uberaba
2 : 1
Araguari
21 Sept
Araguari
0 : 6
Uberaba
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Araxa

(Away)
07 Nov
Mamore
2 : 1
Araxa
28 Oct
Araxa
1 : 1
Mamore
14 Oct
Nacional Uberaba
1 : 1
Araxa
08 Oct
Araxa
1 : 0
Pirapora
02 Oct
Mamore
2 : 1
Araxa
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santarritense 8 4 3 1 9:4 15
2 Varginha 8 4 2 2 18:13 14
3 Pocos de Caldas 8 3 5 0 14:5 14
4 Tres Coracoes 8 3 1 4 9:15 10
5 Figueirense Esporte Clube 8 0 1 7 6:19 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uberaba 8 5 1 2 25:7 16
2 Araxa 8 4 2 2 17:7 14
3 Patrocinense 8 3 2 3 10:11 11
4 Inter de Minas 8 2 5 1 7:6 11
5 Araguari 8 0 2 6 2:30 2
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America TO 8 4 3 1 10:5 15
2 Manchester Futebol 8 4 2 2 10:5 14
3 Contagem 8 4 1 3 8:5 13
4 Boston City 8 4 1 3 11:7 13
5 Betis 8 0 1 7 3:20 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)