Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Araks Ararat vs Ararat Yerevan 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Armenia Armenia

First League Araks Stadium, Ararat
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Araks Ararat in this First League matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Araks Ararat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Araks Ararat
20%
Draws
34%
Ararat Yerevan 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Araks Ararat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Ararat Yerevan 2 haven't matched Araks Ararat's recent run of results.
  • Araks Ararat are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Araks Ararat here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Araks Ararat Clean Sheet 15%
Ararat Yerevan 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araks Ararat Ararat Yerevan 2
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 2
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.37 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 First League
Araks Ararat vs Ararat Yerevan 2
3:1
Apr 26, 2026 First League
Araks Ararat vs Ararat Yerevan 2
4:2
Oct 10, 2025 First League
Ararat Yerevan 2 vs Araks Ararat
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araks Ararat 35 / 100
Ararat Yerevan 2 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araks Ararat Ararat Yerevan 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ararat Yerevan 2 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Araks Ararat found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Araks Ararat stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Araks Ararat VS Ararat Yerevan 2
2 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Araks Ararat

(Home)
08 Oct
Lernayin Artsakh
1 : 2
Araks Ararat
21 Sept
Araks Ararat
0 : 0
BKMA 2
15 Sept
Pyunik Yerevan 2
0 : 2
Araks Ararat
07 Sept
Araks Ararat
1 : 1
Noah 2
01 Sept
Olympia Yerevan
2 : 1
Araks Ararat
Page 1 of 6

Ararat Yerevan 2

(Away)
22 Sept
Ararat Yerevan 2
2 : 1
Pyunik Yerevan 2
14 Sept
Noah 2
0 : 4
Ararat Yerevan 2
07 Sept
Ararat Yerevan 2
0 : 1
Olympia Yerevan
19 Aug
Ararat Yerevan 2
1 : 2
Shirak Gyumri 2
09 Aug
Araks Ararat
3 : 1
Ararat Yerevan 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olympia Yerevan 7 6 1 0 18:5 19
2 Andranik 8 5 1 2 21:9 16
3 BKMA 2 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
4 Bentonit 8 4 3 1 25:16 15
5 Araks Ararat 7 3 3 1 10:6 12
6 Lernayin Artsakh 8 4 0 4 17:16 12
7 Pyunik Yerevan 2 8 3 2 3 13:14 11
8 Mika 8 3 2 3 15:16 11
9 Urartu 2 8 1 5 2 11:17 8
10 Shirak Gyumri 2 6 2 1 3 5:11 7
11 Ararat Yerevan 2 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
12 Noah 2 8 1 3 4 8:20 6
13 Ararat-Armenia 2 8 1 2 5 8:16 5
14 Sardarapat 2 8 1 0 7 6:18 3
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)