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Araks Ararat vs Sardarapat 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Armenia Armenia

First League Araks Stadium, Ararat
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Araks Ararat host Sardarapat 2 in the First League. This has Araks Ararat written all over it on paper. Araks Ararat have averaged 1.41 scored and 1.62 conceded recently, against Sardarapat 2's 0.75 scored and 2.25 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 2.13 vs 1.38, favoring Araks Ararat. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Araks Ararat
20%
Draws
0%
Sardarapat 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Araks Ararat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Sardarapat 2 haven't matched Araks Ararat's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Araks Ararat taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Araks Ararat Clean Sheet 17%
Sardarapat 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araks Ararat Sardarapat 2
Matches Played 29 8
Wins 11 1
Draws 7 0
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.41 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.62 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araks Ararat 84 / 100
Sardarapat 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araks Ararat Sardarapat 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araks Ararat Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sardarapat 2 let in goals in 88% of their last 8 matches.

Sardarapat 2 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Araks Ararat scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Araks Ararat went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Araks Ararat VS Sardarapat 2
2 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Araks Ararat

(Home)
08 Oct
Lernayin Artsakh
1 : 2
Araks Ararat
21 Sept
Araks Ararat
0 : 0
BKMA 2
15 Sept
Pyunik Yerevan 2
0 : 2
Araks Ararat
07 Sept
Araks Ararat
1 : 1
Noah 2
01 Sept
Olympia Yerevan
2 : 1
Araks Ararat
Page 1 of 6

Sardarapat 2

(Away)
08 Oct
Mika
3 : 2
Sardarapat 2
22 Sept
Sardarapat 2
0 : 1
Ararat-Armenia 2
15 Sept
Lernayin Artsakh
4 : 2
Sardarapat 2
08 Sept
Sardarapat 2
0 : 4
BKMA 2
02 Sept
Pyunik Yerevan 2
1 : 0
Sardarapat 2
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olympia Yerevan 7 6 1 0 18:5 19
2 Andranik 8 5 1 2 21:9 16
3 BKMA 2 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
4 Bentonit 8 4 3 1 25:16 15
5 Araks Ararat 7 3 3 1 10:6 12
6 Lernayin Artsakh 8 4 0 4 17:16 12
7 Pyunik Yerevan 2 9 3 2 4 14:16 11
8 Mika 8 3 2 3 15:16 11
9 Shirak Gyumri 2 7 3 1 3 7:12 10
10 Urartu 2 8 1 5 2 11:17 8
11 Ararat Yerevan 2 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
12 Noah 2 8 1 3 4 8:20 6
13 Ararat-Armenia 2 8 1 2 5 8:16 5
14 Sardarapat 2 8 1 0 7 6:18 3
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