Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Araks Ararat vs Urartu 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Armenia Armenia

First League Araks Stadium, Ararat
Mon, Nov 2, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Araks Ararat host Urartu 2 in the First League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Urartu 2 have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Araks Ararat have conceded 1.62 and scored 1.41. Past meetings favor Araks Ararat slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 9, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 1.69) point toward Araks Ararat. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Araks Ararat
35%
Draws
28%
Urartu 2
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Araks Ararat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Araks Ararat carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Araks Ararat's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Araks Ararat Clean Sheet 13%
Urartu 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araks Ararat Urartu 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 7 11
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.41 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.62 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2026 First League
Urartu 2 vs Araks Ararat
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 First League
Araks Ararat vs Urartu 2
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araks Ararat 75 / 100
Urartu 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araks Ararat Urartu 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araks Ararat Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Urartu 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Araks Ararat scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Araks Ararat has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Araks Ararat VS Urartu 2
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Araks Ararat

(Home)
08 Oct
Lernayin Artsakh
1 : 2
Araks Ararat
21 Sept
Araks Ararat
0 : 0
BKMA 2
15 Sept
Pyunik Yerevan 2
0 : 2
Araks Ararat
07 Sept
Araks Ararat
1 : 1
Noah 2
01 Sept
Olympia Yerevan
2 : 1
Araks Ararat
Page 1 of 6

Urartu 2

(Away)
08 Oct
Urartu 2
1 : 1
Bentonit
15 Sept
Mika
1 : 1
Urartu 2
08 Sept
Urartu 2
2 : 2
Ararat-Armenia 2
02 Sept
Lernayin Artsakh
5 : 0
Urartu 2
19 Aug
Urartu 2
3 : 2
BKMA 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olympia Yerevan 7 6 1 0 18:5 19
2 Andranik 8 5 1 2 21:9 16
3 BKMA 2 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
4 Bentonit 8 4 3 1 25:16 15
5 Araks Ararat 7 3 3 1 10:6 12
6 Lernayin Artsakh 8 4 0 4 17:16 12
7 Pyunik Yerevan 2 9 3 2 4 14:16 11
8 Mika 8 3 2 3 15:16 11
9 Shirak Gyumri 2 7 3 1 3 7:12 10
10 Urartu 2 8 1 5 2 11:17 8
11 Ararat Yerevan 2 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
12 Noah 2 8 1 3 4 8:20 6
13 Ararat-Armenia 2 8 1 2 5 8:16 5
14 Sardarapat 2 8 1 0 7 6:18 3
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)