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Aral vs FK Kasansay

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aral in this Pro Liga 2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aral.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Aral
20%
Draws
40%
FK Kasansay
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Aral have won more games recently than FK Kasansay.
  • Model gives Aral a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Aral Clean Sheet 20%
FK Kasansay Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aral FK Kasansay
Matches Played 51 36
Wins 25 13
Draws 11 5
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.59 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2016 Pro Liga
Aral vs FK Kasansay
7:2
May 5, 2016 Pro Liga
FK Kasansay vs Aral
2:1
Oct 17, 2015 Pro Liga
Aral vs FK Kasansay
1:0
Sep 4, 2015 Pro Liga
FK Kasansay vs Aral
5:1
Sep 26, 2013 Pro Liga
FK Kasansay vs Aral
6:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aral 67 / 100
FK Kasansay 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aral FK Kasansay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aral Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Kasansay let in goals in 89% of their last 36 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.60 goals when they meet.

Aral scored in 78% of their last 51 games.

Recent resilience: Aral stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aral VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aral

(Home)
21 Sept
Yaypan
2 : 5
Aral
13 Sept
Aral
2 : 0
FC Lochin
07 Sept
FarDU
1 : 1
Aral
27 Aug
Aral
1 : 0
Kattaqurgon
20 Aug
Olimpik-Mobiuz
2 : 1
Aral
Page 1 of 11

FK Kasansay

(Away)
12 Nov
FK Kasansay
2 : 0
Zaamin
09 Nov
FK Kasansay
1 : 1
Din. Samarkand
05 Nov
FK Kasansay
3 : 2
Nurafshon
02 Nov
FK Kasansay
3 : 2
Gijduvon
26 Oct
FK Yozyovon
4 : 2
FK Kasansay
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Obod Tashkent 30 20 5 5 98:37 65
2 Oktepa Tashkent 30 20 4 6 63:22 64
3 Uz Dong Ju Andijon 30 16 8 6 51:27 56
4 Sementchi Kuvasoy 30 15 7 8 70:34 52
5 Zaamin 30 15 7 8 57:38 52
6 Osiyo Tashkent 30 15 5 10 46:32 50
7 Xorazm Urganch 30 15 4 11 39:38 49
8 FK Yozyovon 30 12 7 11 46:52 43
9 Pakhtakor II 30 9 9 12 48:58 36
10 Nasaf Qarshi II 30 9 8 13 37:54 35
11 FK Kasansay 30 10 4 16 46:58 34
12 Mashal Muborak II 30 9 6 15 35:45 33
13 Aral 30 9 4 17 25:50 31
14 Lokomotiv BFK 30 7 9 14 36:59 30
15 Khotira 79 30 8 4 18 31:71 28
16 Gijduvon 30 3 5 22 28:81 14
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