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Aral vs Respublika FA Prediction & H2H Stats

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga
Aral Logo

Aral

2 - 1
FT
Respublika FA Logo

Respublika FA

Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Kalmagambetov R.
(Penalty)
68' Event
Kalmagambetov R.
90' Event
Odiljonov O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Pro Liga game between Aral and Respublika FA finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aral.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Aral
15%
Draws
40%
Respublika FA
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aral

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Aral carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Aral are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Pro Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Aral Clean Sheet 20%
Respublika FA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aral Respublika FA
Matches Played 30 19
Wins 20 6
Draws 6 4
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1.87 1.32
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2026 Pro Liga
Respublika FA vs Aral
0:0
Apr 5, 2026 Pro Liga
Aral vs Respublika FA
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aral Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalmagambetov R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Respublika FA Compare

Top Goalscorer Odiljonov O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aral 40 / 100
Respublika FA 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aral Respublika FA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aral Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aral's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Respublika FA let in goals in 74% of their last 19 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Aral stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aral VS Respublika FA
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aral

(Home)
21 Sept
Yaypan
2 : 5
Aral
13 Sept
Aral
2 : 0
FC Lochin
07 Sept
FarDU
1 : 1
Aral
27 Aug
Aral
1 : 0
Kattaqurgon
20 Aug
Olimpik-Mobiuz
2 : 1
Aral
Page 1 of 6

Respublika FA

(Away)
21 Sept
FC Lochin
0 : 3
Respublika FA
17 Sept
BuxDu
1 : 2
Respublika FA
12 Sept
Respublika FA
2 : 3
FarDU
07 Sept
Kattaqurgon
1 : 3
Respublika FA
15 Aug
Respublika FA
1 : 3
Metallurg Bekabad
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aral 20 15 4 1 42:13 49
2 Shortan Guzor 20 13 3 4 35:19 42
3 Metallurg Bekabad 20 12 4 4 46:16 40
4 FarDU 20 11 6 3 37:27 39
5 Kattaqurgon 19 10 3 6 24:17 33
6 FC Lochin 20 9 5 6 26:23 32
7 Gazalkent 20 9 5 6 36:23 32
8 Olimpik-Mobiuz 18 9 4 5 34:20 31
9 Jayxun 20 7 3 10 22:25 24
10 Yaypan 20 6 4 10 23:37 22
11 Respublika FA 19 6 4 9 25:29 22
12 BuxDu 20 3 1 16 16:48 10
13 Pakhtakor II 20 3 1 16 13:46 10
14 TerDU 20 1 1 18 12:48 4
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