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Arambagh vs Fakirerpool YMC

Bangladesh Bangladesh

BFL 2025/2026 Shaheed Miraj-Tapan Stadium, Manikganj
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Mia S.
50'
Alam M.
65'
Arian H.

AI Match Summary

The BFL 2025/2026 game between Arambagh and Fakirerpool YMC finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Arambagh
30%
Draws
47%
Fakirerpool YMC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fakirerpool YMC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Fakirerpool YMC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular BFL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Arambagh Clean Sheet 19%
Fakirerpool YMC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arambagh Fakirerpool YMC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 4 5
Draws 6 6
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 0.5 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 BFL
Arambagh vs Fakirerpool YMC
1:1
Sep 26, 2025 BFL
Fakirerpool YMC vs Arambagh
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arambagh Compare

Top Goalscorer Kizito K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Fakirerpool YMC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arambagh 31 / 100
Fakirerpool YMC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arambagh Fakirerpool YMC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arambagh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fakirerpool YMC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Fakirerpool YMC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Arambagh scored in 36% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Arambagh VS Fakirerpool YMC
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arambagh

(Home)
19 Sept
Arambagh
1 : 1
Bashundara Kings
23 May
Arambagh
0 : 4
Abahani Limited Dhaka
15 May
Bangladesh Police
2 : 0
Arambagh
09 May
Arambagh
0 : 2
Mohammedan
30 Apr
Brothers U.
2 : 2
Arambagh
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Fakirerpool YMC

(Away)
22 Sept
Fortis
1 : 1
Fakirerpool YMC
18 Sept
Fakirerpool YMC
2 : 1
Dhaka Wanderers
23 May
Bashundara Kings
4 : 1
Fakirerpool YMC
15 May
Fakirerpool YMC
0 : 1
PWD Sports Club
08 May
Fakirerpool YMC
1 : 7
Fortis
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