Sport Picks

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Arambagh vs Fortis

Bangladesh Bangladesh

BFL
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Sagor R.
22'
Ahamed S.
42'
Rocky M.

AI Match Summary

Fortis in this BFL matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fortis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Arambagh
20%
Draws
61%
Fortis
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fortis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fortis lately — more wins on the board than Arambagh.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Fortis taking it.
  • Regular BFL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Fortis here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Arambagh Clean Sheet 10%
Fortis Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arambagh Fortis
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 14
Draws 5 11
Losses 21 5
Goals Scored 0.57 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.03 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 BFL
Fortis vs Arambagh
0:0
Dec 16, 2025 Federation Cup
Arambagh vs Fortis
0:4
Nov 28, 2025 BFL
Arambagh vs Fortis
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arambagh Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Fortis Compare

Top Goalscorer Sagor R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arambagh 10 / 100
Fortis 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arambagh Fortis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Arambagh scored in 37% of their last 30 outings.

Fortis let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Arambagh has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arambagh VS Fortis
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arambagh

(Home)
23 May
Arambagh
0 : 4
Abahani Limited Dhaka
15 May
Bangladesh Police
2 : 0
Arambagh
09 May
Arambagh
0 : 2
Mohammedan
30 Apr
Brothers U.
2 : 2
Arambagh
24 Apr
Arambagh
1 : 0
Rahmatgonj MFS
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Fortis

(Away)
11 Aug
Fortis
1 : 0
Muras United
23 May
PWD Sports Club
2 : 2
Fortis
15 May
Fortis
2 : 0
Brothers U.
08 May
Fakirerpool YMC
1 : 7
Fortis
01 May
Fortis
3 : 2
Rahmatgonj MFS
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