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Arambagh vs Rahmatgonj MFS

Bangladesh Bangladesh

BFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Lantei-Mills S.
45'
Munna M.
46'
Sub
Bappy A. In: Joy Tanchangy S.
Out: Bappy A.

AI Match Summary

The BFL 2025/2026 game between Arambagh and Rahmatgonj MFS finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arambagh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Arambagh
35%
Draws
46%
Rahmatgonj MFS
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rahmatgonj MFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rahmatgonj MFS come out ahead of Arambagh on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Rahmatgonj MFS's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular BFL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Arambagh Clean Sheet 17%
Rahmatgonj MFS Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arambagh Rahmatgonj MFS
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 4 11
Draws 6 10
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.5 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 BFL
Arambagh vs Rahmatgonj MFS
1:0
Dec 6, 2025 BFL
Rahmatgonj MFS vs Arambagh
3:0
Aug 27, 2021 BFL
Rahmatgonj MFS vs Arambagh
3:0
Mar 5, 2021 BFL
Arambagh vs Rahmatgonj MFS
1:4
Jul 28, 2020 BFL
Rahmatgonj MFS vs Arambagh
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arambagh Compare

Top Goalscorer Kizito K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Rahmatgonj MFS Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arambagh 23 / 100
Rahmatgonj MFS 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arambagh Rahmatgonj MFS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rahmatgonj MFS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rahmatgonj MFS's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Arambagh scored in 36% of their last 28 games.

Arambagh went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arambagh VS Rahmatgonj MFS
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arambagh

(Home)
19 Sept
Arambagh
1 : 1
Bashundara Kings
23 May
Arambagh
0 : 4
Abahani Limited Dhaka
15 May
Bangladesh Police
2 : 0
Arambagh
09 May
Arambagh
0 : 2
Mohammedan
30 Apr
Brothers U.
2 : 2
Arambagh
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Rahmatgonj MFS

(Away)
23 Sept
Brothers U.
0 : 0
Rahmatgonj MFS
18 Sept
Bangladesh Police
1 : 0
Rahmatgonj MFS
23 May
Rahmatgonj MFS
0 : 0
Bangladesh Police
15 May
Rahmatgonj MFS
1 : 0
Mohammedan
09 May
Brothers U.
3 : 1
Rahmatgonj MFS
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