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Arandina vs Calasanz de Soria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Barranco F.

AI Match Summary

Arandina in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arandina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Arandina
30%
Draws
33%
Calasanz de Soria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arandina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arandina lately — more wins on the board than Calasanz de Soria.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Arandina Clean Sheet 19%
Calasanz de Soria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arandina Calasanz de Soria
Matches Played 29 5
Wins 9 2
Draws 10 1
Losses 10 2
Goals Scored 1.14 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Calasanz de Soria
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arandina Compare

Top Goalscorer Barranco F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.67

Calasanz de Soria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arandina 31 / 100
Calasanz de Soria 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arandina Calasanz de Soria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arandina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Calasanz de Soria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Arandina scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Arandina stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Arandina VS Calasanz de Soria
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.29
88% Over 1.5 43%
50% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Arandina

(Home)
03 Oct
Turegano
1 : 1
Arandina
26 Sept
Arandina
1 : 0
Calasanz de Soria
20 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS B
3 : 4
Arandina
12 Sept
Arandina
1 : 1
Almazan
05 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0
Arandina
Page 1 of 6

Calasanz de Soria

(Away)
03 Oct
Calasanz de Soria
2 : 2
Villaralbo
26 Sept
Arandina
1 : 0
Calasanz de Soria
19 Sept
Calasanz de Soria
3 : 2
Unionistas de Salamanca B
12 Sept
La Virgen
4 : 1
Calasanz de Soria
06 Sept
Calasanz de Soria
1 : 0
Guijuelo

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF B 5 4 1 0 9:1 13
2 Santa Marta Tormes 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
3 Mansilles 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Bembibre 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
5 Palencia CA 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
6 Leonesa B 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
7 La Virgen 5 3 0 2 7:5 9
8 Arandina 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
9 Almazan 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
10 Palencia CF 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
11 Calasanz de Soria 5 2 1 2 7:9 7
12 Villaralbo 5 1 2 2 9:7 5
13 Salamanca CF UDS B 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
14 Guijuelo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
15 Turegano 5 0 2 3 3:7 2
16 Unionistas de Salamanca B 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
17 Mirandes B 5 0 1 4 2:7 1
18 Colegios Diocesanos 5 0 1 4 1:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 (Play Offs)