Sport Picks
Match Events
15'
15'
Gonzalez I.
29'
29'
Cristobal G.
84'
84'
Oliver J. C.
AI Match Summary
Guijuelo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guijuelo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arandina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Guijuelo lately — more wins on the board than Arandina.
- Model gives Arandina a 59% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Guijuelo have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Arandina Clean Sheet 68%
Guijuelo Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arandina | Guijuelo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 7 | 16 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.58 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.15 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Guijuelo
1:2
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Guijuelo vs Arandina
2:0
Mar 16, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Arandina vs Guijuelo
0:1
Nov 5, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Guijuelo vs Arandina
1:0
Jan 23, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Guijuelo
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arandina Compare
Top Goalscorer Gonzalez I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57
Guijuelo Compare
Top Goalscorer Cristobal G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Oliver J. C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.4
Avg xA / game 0.86
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arandina 59 / 100
Guijuelo 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arandina Guijuelo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Arandina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arandina found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).
Guijuelo has conceded goals in 73% of their last 33 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Arandina went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Arandina VS Guijuelo
1.17 Goals Scored 1.75
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.13
67% Over 1.5 100%
33% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Arandina
(Home) 20 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS B
3 : 4 Arandina
12 Sept
Arandina
1 : 1 Almazan
05 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0 Arandina
10 May
Becerril
2 : 0 Arandina
02 May
Arandina
2 : 1 Mirandes B
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12 Sept
Arandina
1 : 1 Almazan
02 May
Arandina
2 : 1 Mirandes B
26 Apr
Arandina
3 : 3 Bembibre
11 Apr
Arandina
3 : 1 La Virgen
28 Mar
Arandina
1 : 2 Atletico Tordesillas
Page 1 of 3
Guijuelo
(Away) 20 Sept
Palencia CA
1 : 0 Guijuelo
12 Sept
Turegano
1 : 3 Guijuelo
06 Sept
Calasanz de Soria
1 : 0 Guijuelo
22 Aug
Unionistas de Salamanca B
4 : 1 Guijuelo
19 Aug
Guijuelo
1 : 2 Ribert
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Palencia CA
1 : 0 Guijuelo
12 Sept
Turegano
1 : 3 Guijuelo
06 Sept
Calasanz de Soria
1 : 0 Guijuelo
22 Aug
Unionistas de Salamanca B
4 : 1 Guijuelo
15 Aug
Atletico Tordesillas
1 : 1 Guijuelo
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Tordesillas | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 62:24 | 78 |
| 2 | Guijuelo | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 54:26 | 70 |
| 3 | Palencia CA | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 48:24 | 68 |
| 4 | Palencia CF | 34 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 59:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Santa Marta Tormes | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:31 | 62 |
| 6 | Mansilles | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 31:27 | 57 |
| 7 | Almazan | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 49:38 | 48 |
| 8 | Mirandes B | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:35 | 47 |
| 9 | La Virgen | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31:37 | 44 |
| 10 | Villaralbo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 29:37 | 42 |
| 11 | Leonesa B | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 38:43 | 42 |
| 12 | Arandina | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Colegios Diocesanos | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 33:54 | 36 |
| 14 | Bembibre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 38:52 | 34 |
| 15 | Unionistas de Salamanca B | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 32:43 | 31 |
| 16 | CD Mojados | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 28:55 | 31 |
| 17 | Becerril | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 41:60 | 29 |
| 18 | Numancia B | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26:56 | 24 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
