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Arandina vs Ribert

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Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2021/2022 game between Arandina and Ribert finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arandina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Arandina
30%
Draws
47%
Ribert
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ribert

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Ribert's 1.13 goals per match outpaces what Arandina have produced (1.03).
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Arandina Clean Sheet 11%
Ribert Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arandina Ribert
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 11 10
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.03 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Ribert
2:1
Oct 2, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Ribert vs Arandina
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arandina 30 / 100
Ribert 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arandina Ribert

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ribert conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Arandina scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Arandina remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Arandina VS Ribert
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arandina

(Home)
12 Sept
Arandina
1 : 1
Almazan
05 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0
Arandina
10 May
Becerril
2 : 0
Arandina
02 May
Arandina
2 : 1
Mirandes B
26 Apr
Arandina
3 : 3
Bembibre
Page 1 of 7

Ribert

(Away)
19 Aug
Guijuelo
1 : 2
Ribert
30 Apr
Mirandes B
1 : 2
Ribert
24 Apr
Ribert
0 : 2
Atletico Astorga
14 Apr
Ciudad Rodrigo CF
2 : 3
Ribert
10 Apr
Ribert
1 : 1
Numancia B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guijuelo 32 22 9 1 61:16 75
2 Almazan 32 20 4 8 51:28 64
3 Real Avila 32 17 7 8 45:25 58
4 Mirandes B 32 15 10 7 36:24 55
5 Atletico Tordesillas 32 15 9 8 37:28 54
6 Leonesa B 32 15 9 8 55:37 54
7 Arandina 32 15 8 9 39:22 53
8 Palencia CF 32 14 5 13 45:36 47
9 Atletico Astorga 32 12 6 14 33:37 42
10 Bembibre 32 11 7 14 32:40 40
11 La Virgen 32 10 9 13 28:34 39
12 Numancia B 32 9 9 14 40:48 36
13 Santa Marta Tormes 32 10 5 17 37:49 35
14 Ribert 32 7 11 14 34:49 32
15 Salamanca CF UDS B 32 8 6 18 22:51 30
16 Ciudad Rodrigo CF 32 5 5 22 29:65 20
17 Colegios Diocesanos 32 4 7 21 21:56 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2021/2022 (Play Offs)