Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arapongas vs Operario-PR

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Paranaense 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Paranaense 2014 game between Arapongas and Operario-PR finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Operario-PR.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Arapongas
35%
Draws
45%
Operario-PR
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Operario-PR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Operario-PR come out ahead of Arapongas on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Operario-PR's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Campeonato Paranaense 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Arapongas Clean Sheet 20%
Operario-PR Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arapongas Operario-PR
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 12 14
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.73 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2014 Paranaense
Arapongas vs Operario-PR
1:2
Mar 16, 2014 Paranaense
Operario-PR vs Arapongas
1:0
Feb 16, 2014 Paranaense
Operario-PR vs Arapongas
2:2
Mar 13, 2013 Paranaense
Operario-PR vs Arapongas
2:3
Jan 23, 2013 Paranaense
Arapongas vs Operario-PR
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arapongas 20 / 100
Operario-PR 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arapongas Operario-PR

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Operario-PR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arapongas's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Operario-PR let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Arapongas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Operario-PR
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Arapongas

(Home)
09 Nov
Arapongas
1 : 2
Batel
02 Nov
Batel
2 : 2
Arapongas
26 Oct
Arapongas
0 : 2
Iraty
20 Oct
Iraty
0 : 3
Arapongas
13 Oct
Arapongas
0 : 0
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
Page 1 of 6

Operario-PR

(Away)
22 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2
Operario-PR
15 Sept
Nautico
3 : 3
Operario-PR
09 Sept
Operario-PR
3 : 0
CRB
06 Sept
Londrina
1 : 2
Operario-PR
31 Aug
Fortaleza
1 : 1
Operario-PR
Page 1 of 7