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Arar vs Al-Kawkab

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 2025/2026 game between Arar and Al-Kawkab finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Kawkab.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Arar
30%
Draws
35%
Al-Kawkab
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Arar haven't matched Al-Kawkab's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Division 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Arar Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Kawkab Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arar Al-Kawkab
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 3 7
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1.27 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Division 2
Arar vs Al-Kawkab
1:2
Nov 28, 2025 Division 2
Al-Kawkab vs Arar
0:1
Apr 19, 2021 Division 1
Arar vs Al-Kawkab
0:0
Jan 2, 2021 Division 1
Al-Kawkab vs Arar
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arar 32 / 100
Al-Kawkab 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arar Al-Kawkab

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arar scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Al-Kawkab let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.25 goals.

Arar went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arar VS Al-Kawkab
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Arar

(Home)
09 Apr
Arar
3 : 2
Al Qous
03 Apr
Mudhar Club
1 : 0
Arar
27 Mar
Al Gottah
6 : 4
Arar
13 Mar
Arar
2 : 3
Al Nairea
06 Mar
Al Safa
2 : 1
Arar
Page 1 of 6

Al-Kawkab

(Away)
09 Apr
Al Safa
2 : 2
Al-Kawkab
04 Apr
Al-Kawkab
1 : 1
Al Nairea
27 Mar
Al-Kawkab
0 : 3
Al Saqer
15 Mar
Mudhar Club
1 : 0
Al-Kawkab
06 Mar
Al-Kawkab
2 : 2
Al Qous
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Jeel 30 18 4 8 48:35 58
2 Al Ain 30 15 10 5 50:34 55
3 Al-Sahel 30 15 8 7 48:29 53
4 Al-Washm 30 13 9 8 50:34 48
5 Najran 30 13 7 10 44:38 46
6 Jerash 30 13 7 10 52:46 46
7 Al Entesar 30 10 12 8 38:36 42
8 Al Najoom 30 6 21 3 36:31 39
9 Jubbah 30 9 11 10 40:36 38
10 Afief 30 9 9 12 35:36 36
11 Al Rawdhah 30 9 8 13 31:43 35
12 Al-Shoalah 30 8 11 11 44:48 35
13 Al Taraji 30 8 10 12 42:57 34
14 Al-Sharq 30 6 15 9 32:36 33
15 Tuwaiq 30 6 10 14 36:51 28
16 Al-Sadd 30 2 8 20 29:65 14
Promotion - Division 1 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Saqer 30 21 6 3 59:19 69
2 Hajer 30 20 6 4 47:20 66
3 Al Loa 30 19 8 3 67:32 65
4 Mudhar Club 30 13 10 7 37:26 49
5 Al Rayan 30 14 7 9 50:41 49
6 Al Nairea 30 13 9 8 50:37 48
7 Hottain 30 13 6 11 39:37 45
8 Al Safa 30 12 5 13 32:44 41
9 Al Qalah 30 11 7 12 32:32 40
10 Al-Kawkab 30 11 7 12 33:39 40
11 Al Gottah 30 9 10 11 43:41 37
12 Wej Sports Club 30 8 11 11 42:35 35
13 Al Qous 30 8 9 13 36:41 33
14 Arar 30 8 3 19 38:62 27
15 Bisha 30 2 7 21 21:58 10
16 Ohod 30 1 3 26 16:78 6
Promotion - Division 1 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)