Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ararat-Armenia 2 vs Shirak Gyumri 2

Armenia Armenia

First League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this First League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Ararat-Armenia 2
20%
Draws
38%
Shirak Gyumri 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ararat-Armenia 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ararat-Armenia 2 lately — more wins on the board than Shirak Gyumri 2.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Ararat-Armenia 2 taking it.
  • Regular First League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Ararat-Armenia 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Shirak Gyumri 2 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ararat-Armenia 2 Shirak Gyumri 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 4
Draws 6 6
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 2 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.88 3.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 First League
Ararat-Armenia 2 vs Shirak Gyumri 2
1:1
Sep 11, 2025 First League
Shirak Gyumri 2 vs Ararat-Armenia 2
1:1
May 5, 2025 First League
Ararat-Armenia 2 vs Shirak Gyumri 2
0:2
Oct 29, 2024 First League
Shirak Gyumri 2 vs Ararat-Armenia 2
2:1
Nov 29, 2023 First League
Shirak Gyumri 2 vs Ararat-Armenia 2
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ararat-Armenia 2 42 / 100
Shirak Gyumri 2 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ararat-Armenia 2 Shirak Gyumri 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shirak Gyumri 2 has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Ararat-Armenia 2 scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Shirak Gyumri 2 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ararat-Armenia 2 VS Shirak Gyumri 2
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ararat-Armenia 2

(Home)
25 May
Ararat-Armenia 2
3 : 4
Hayq
20 May
Araks Ararat
3 : 2
Ararat-Armenia 2
15 May
Ararat-Armenia 2
3 : 0
Ararat Yerevan 2
05 May
Sardarapat
4 : 2
Ararat-Armenia 2
28 Apr
Ararat-Armenia 2
1 : 3
Pyunik Yerevan 2
Page 1 of 6

Shirak Gyumri 2

(Away)
27 May
Shirak Gyumri 2
3 : 3
BKMA 2
21 May
Noah 2
3 : 0
Shirak Gyumri 2
12 May
Mika
3 : 2
Shirak Gyumri 2
06 May
Shirak Gyumri 2
5 : 3
Urartu 2
30 Apr
Shirak Gyumri 2
1 : 2
Ararat Yerevan 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sardarapat30244281:1876
2BKMA 230225377:3171
3Hayq30222659:2468
4Syunik30221783:2667
5Andranik30213676:3066
6Pyunik Yerevan 2301281043:4344
7Ararat Yerevan 2301221643:5838
8Araks Ararat301141538:5137
9Urartu 230991246:5436
10Noah 230871539:5831
11Bentonit30781533:4929
12Mika30771632:6028
13Ararat-Armenia 230661846:6224
14Van 230661833:5824
15Lernayin Artsakh30722122:7423
16Shirak Gyumri 230462034:8918
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