Sport Picks
Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Europe
Europa League Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium, Yerevan 
AI Match Summary
Ararat-Armenia host AZ Alkmaar in the Europa League. Ararat-Armenia go into this one as the clear favorite. AZ Alkmaar have shipped 1.22 goals a game lately, while Ararat-Armenia have conceded 1.18 and scored 1.57. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Ararat-Armenia. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Ararat-Armenia have won more games recently than AZ Alkmaar.
- Win probability leans Ararat-Armenia's way, sitting at 70%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Europa League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ararat-Armenia | AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 15 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 2.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.18 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ararat-Armenia's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Defensive concern: AZ Alkmaar conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.
Recent resilience: Ararat-Armenia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Away concern: AZ Alkmaar has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Ararat-Armenia
(Home)AZ Alkmaar
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Bayer Leverkusen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 |
| 3 | Benfica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 6 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 6 |
| 5 | Bournemouth | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 6 | Omonia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 6 |
| 7 | Ferencvaros | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 8 | Lyon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 9 | Sunderland | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 10 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 11 | Sparta Prague | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 12 | Royale Union SG | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 4 |
| 13 | Rennes | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 14 | Din. Zagreb | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 4 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 |
| 16 | AC Milan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 17 | Jagiellonia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 18 | OFI Crete | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 19 | Torreense | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 20 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 21 | Salzburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 22 | Real Sociedad | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 23 | Lillestrom | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 24 | Levski Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 25 | H. Beer Sheva | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 26 | Sturm Graz | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | 1 |
| 27 | Nijmegen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 28 | Celta Vigo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 29 | Anderlecht | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 30 | Hoffenheim | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 0 |
| 31 | Plzen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 32 | Marseille | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 33 | Celtic | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 34 | Ararat-Armenia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 35 | Celje | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | 0 |
| 36 | Lech Poznan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:8 | 0 |
