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Ararat-Armenia vs Mura

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Oliveira H.
81' Event
Caks R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Ararat-Armenia
20%
Draws
34%
Mura
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ararat-Armenia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Mura haven't matched Ararat-Armenia's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ararat-Armenia's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ararat-Armenia Clean Sheet 20%
Mura Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ararat-Armenia Mura
Matches Played 28 24
Wins 15 6
Draws 7 4
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.68 1.04
Goals Conceded 1 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Ararat-Armenia vs Mura
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ararat-Armenia Compare

Top Goalscorer Oliveira H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Mura Compare

Top Goalscorer Caks R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ararat-Armenia 58 / 100
Mura 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ararat-Armenia Mura

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ararat-Armenia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mura's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 24 matches.

Ararat-Armenia found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Ararat-Armenia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ararat-Armenia VS Mura
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ararat-Armenia

(Home)
23 Aug
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 1
Sardarapat
20 Aug
Univ. Craiova
1 : 1
Ararat-Armenia
15 Aug
Ararat-Armenia
2 : 0
Van
11 Aug
Celje
2 : 0
Ararat-Armenia
07 Aug
Ararat-Armenia
2 : 1
Urartu
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Mura

(Away)
22 Aug
Mura
0 : 1
Koper
16 Aug
Grosuplje
1 : 2
Mura
10 Aug
Mura
1 : 3
Radomlje
01 Aug
Nafta
5 : 2
Mura
25 Jul
Mura
1 : 0
O. Ljubljana
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