Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ararat-Armenia vs Pyunik Yerevan

Armenia Armenia

Premier League 2025/2026 Football Academy Stadium, Yerevan
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Banjaqui Z.
59'
Hovhannisyan K.
69'
Sub
Tera A. In: Muradyan K.
Out: Tera A.

AI Match Summary

Ararat-Armenia in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ararat-Armenia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ararat-Armenia
30%
Draws
34%
Pyunik Yerevan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ararat-Armenia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ararat-Armenia lately — more wins on the board than Pyunik Yerevan.
  • Model gives Ararat-Armenia a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Ararat-Armenia Clean Sheet 20%
Pyunik Yerevan Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ararat-Armenia Pyunik Yerevan
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Premier League
Ararat-Armenia vs Pyunik Yerevan
1:0
Apr 11, 2026 Premier League
Pyunik Yerevan vs Ararat-Armenia
0:2
Nov 25, 2025 Premier League
Pyunik Yerevan vs Ararat-Armenia
1:0
Apr 29, 2025 Armenian Cup
Ararat-Armenia vs Pyunik Yerevan
1:2
Apr 15, 2025 Armenian Cup
Pyunik Yerevan vs Ararat-Armenia
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ararat-Armenia Compare

Top Goalscorer Banjaqui Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Pyunik Yerevan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ararat-Armenia 36 / 100
Pyunik Yerevan 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ararat-Armenia Pyunik Yerevan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ararat-Armenia's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Ararat-Armenia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Pyunik Yerevan has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ararat-Armenia VS Pyunik Yerevan
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ararat-Armenia

(Home)
14 Jul
Riga FC
3 : 2
Ararat-Armenia
07 Jul
Ararat-Armenia
2 : 0
Riga FC
27 Jun
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 1
Vojvodina
20 Jun
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 1
Mura
27 May
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 0
FC Gandzasar
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Pyunik Yerevan

(Away)
16 Jul
Pyunik Yerevan
1 : 0
Marsaxlokk
09 Jul
Marsaxlokk
0 : 3
Pyunik Yerevan
01 Jul
Corvinul Hunedoara
2 : 0
Pyunik Yerevan
23 Jun
Aluminij
2 : 2
Pyunik Yerevan
27 May
Pyunik Yerevan
2 : 1
Van
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ararat-Armenia27186350:2560
2Noah27168361:1956
3Pyunik Yerevan27174637:1855
4Alashkert27165642:2353
5Urartu27147643:2649
6Van27941427:4031
7BKMA274111230:4223
8FC Gandzasar27561620:4121
9Ararat Yerevan27342021:6313
10Shirak Gyumri27271817:5113
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - First League (Main)