Sport Picks
Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Prague - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Europe
Europa League Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium, Yerevan 
Match Events
20'
20'
Guddal T.
Assist: Karabec A.
22'
22'
Guddal T.
53'
53'
Mercado J.
Assist: Alcocer J.
AI Match Summary
The Europa League game between Ararat-Armenia and Sparta Prague finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sparta Prague.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
15%
47%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sparta Prague
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sparta Prague carry the better recent record into this one.
- 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Europa League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Sparta Prague have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Ararat-Armenia Clean Sheet 20%
Sparta Prague Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ararat-Armenia | Sparta Prague |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 17 | 18 |
| Draws | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 2.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 1.15 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2026 Europa League
Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Prague
1:4
Aug 14, 2025 Conference League
Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Prague
1:2
Aug 7, 2025 Conference League
Sparta Prague vs Ararat-Armenia
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ararat-Armenia Compare
Top Goalscorer Wilson Valdez B. R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Sparta Prague Compare
Top Goalscorer Guddal T.
2 Goals Assists Leader Mercado J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ararat-Armenia 32 / 100
Sparta Prague 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ararat-Armenia Sparta Prague
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sparta Prague Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.
Ararat-Armenia's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Ararat-Armenia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Sparta Prague conceded in 59% of 27 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Ararat-Armenia VS Sparta Prague
1.5 Goals Scored 3
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Ararat-Armenia
(Home) 03 Oct
Ararat Yerevan
0 : 4 Ararat-Armenia
20 Sept
Shirak Gyumri
1 : 3 Ararat-Armenia
16 Sept
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 4 Sparta Prague
11 Sept
Ararat-Armenia
3 : 0 Syunik
05 Sept
Ararat Yerevan
0 : 1 Ararat-Armenia
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 4 Sparta Prague
11 Sept
Ararat-Armenia
3 : 0 Syunik
27 Aug
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 0 Univ. Craiova
23 Aug
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 1 Sardarapat
15 Aug
Ararat-Armenia
2 : 0 Van
Page 1 of 3
Sparta Prague
(Away) 02 Oct
Sparta Prague
5 : 3 Jihlava
20 Sept
Sigma Olomouc
0 : 3 Sparta Prague
16 Sept
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 4 Sparta Prague
12 Sept
Sparta Prague
2 : 0 Jablonec
09 Sept
Zizkov
0 : 5 Sparta Prague
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Sigma Olomouc
0 : 3 Sparta Prague
16 Sept
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 4 Sparta Prague
09 Sept
Zizkov
0 : 5 Sparta Prague
06 Sept
Hradec Kralove
2 : 1 Sparta Prague
22 Aug
Artis Brno
0 : 4 Sparta Prague
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Sparta Prague | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 5 | Royale Union SG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Ferencvaros | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 7 | Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 8 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 9 | OFI Crete | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 10 | Bournemouth | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 11 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 12 | Torreense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 13 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 14 | Salzburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 15 | Sunderland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 16 | Omonia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 17 | Sturm Graz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 18 | Rennes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 19 | Din. Zagreb | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 20 | H. Beer Sheva | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 21 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 22 | Real Sociedad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 23 | Anderlecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 24 | Lillestrom | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 25 | Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 26 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 27 | Levski Sofia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 28 | Celtic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 29 | Hoffenheim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 30 | AC Milan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 31 | Celje | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 32 | Marseille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 33 | Ararat-Armenia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 34 | Plzen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 35 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 36 | Nijmegen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | 0 |
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
