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Ararat-Armenia vs Urartu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Armenia Armenia

Premier League Football Academy Stadium, Yerevan
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Ndour A.
Assist: Carlier M.
31' Event
Rajani M.
33'
Franca Carlos

AI Match Summary

Ararat-Armenia in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ararat-Armenia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ararat-Armenia
20%
Draws
33%
Urartu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ararat-Armenia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ararat-Armenia have won more games recently than Urartu.
  • Ararat-Armenia are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ararat-Armenia have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Ararat-Armenia Clean Sheet 20%
Urartu Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ararat-Armenia Urartu
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 17 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.61 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Premier League
Ararat-Armenia vs Urartu
2:1
May 3, 2026 Premier League
Urartu vs Ararat-Armenia
0:2
Nov 8, 2025 Premier League
Ararat-Armenia vs Urartu
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 Premier League
Urartu vs Ararat-Armenia
2:3
Apr 5, 2025 Premier League
Urartu vs Ararat-Armenia
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ararat-Armenia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndour A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oliveira Dias B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Urartu Compare

Top Goalscorer Rajani M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ararat-Armenia 58 / 100
Urartu 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ararat-Armenia Urartu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ararat-Armenia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ararat-Armenia's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Urartu has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ararat-Armenia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ararat-Armenia VS Urartu
1.38 Goals Scored 0.86
1 Goals Conceded 0.86
75% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ararat-Armenia

(Home)
10 Oct
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 1
Alashkert
03 Oct
Ararat Yerevan
0 : 4
Ararat-Armenia
20 Sept
Shirak Gyumri
1 : 3
Ararat-Armenia
16 Sept
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 4
Sparta Prague
11 Sept
Ararat-Armenia
3 : 0
Syunik
Page 1 of 7

Urartu

(Away)
18 Sept
FC Gandzasar
0 : 3
Urartu
12 Sept
Urartu
0 : 3
Noah
06 Sept
BKMA
2 : 1
Urartu
28 Aug
Urartu
1 : 1
Alashkert
22 Aug
Shirak Gyumri
0 : 1
Urartu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Noah 8 8 0 0 21:5 24
2 Ararat-Armenia 9 6 2 1 18:9 20
3 Pyunik Yerevan 8 5 3 0 18:8 18
4 Alashkert 9 4 4 1 19:7 16
5 Sardarapat 8 3 3 2 14:12 12
6 Urartu 8 3 2 3 12:10 11
7 Shirak Gyumri 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
8 Ararat Yerevan 8 3 0 5 6:13 9
9 BKMA 8 2 2 4 8:10 8
10 Van 9 2 1 6 6:21 7
11 FC Gandzasar 9 1 0 8 8:22 3
12 Syunik 8 0 2 6 3:17 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027/2028 (Main)