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Ararat Yerevan 2 vs Shirak Gyumri 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Armenia Armenia

First League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shirak Gyumri 2 in this First League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shirak Gyumri 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Ararat Yerevan 2
15%
Draws
53%
Shirak Gyumri 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shirak Gyumri 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Ararat Yerevan 2 have won more games recently than Shirak Gyumri 2.
  • Ararat Yerevan 2 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ararat Yerevan 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Shirak Gyumri 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ararat Yerevan 2 Shirak Gyumri 2
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 2 5
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.28 1.2
Goals Conceded 2 2.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 First League
Ararat Yerevan 2 vs Shirak Gyumri 2
1:2
Apr 30, 2026 First League
Shirak Gyumri 2 vs Ararat Yerevan 2
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 First League
Ararat Yerevan 2 vs Shirak Gyumri 2
3:1
Mar 10, 2025 First League
Shirak Gyumri 2 vs Ararat Yerevan 2
2:1
Aug 15, 2024 First League
Ararat Yerevan 2 vs Shirak Gyumri 2
4:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ararat Yerevan 2 47 / 100
Shirak Gyumri 2 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ararat Yerevan 2 Shirak Gyumri 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ararat Yerevan 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shirak Gyumri 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Ararat Yerevan 2 found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Ararat Yerevan 2 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ararat Yerevan 2 VS Shirak Gyumri 2
0.88 Goals Scored 1
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ararat Yerevan 2

(Home)
22 Sept
Ararat Yerevan 2
2 : 1
Pyunik Yerevan 2
14 Sept
Noah 2
0 : 4
Ararat Yerevan 2
07 Sept
Ararat Yerevan 2
0 : 1
Olympia Yerevan
19 Aug
Ararat Yerevan 2
1 : 2
Shirak Gyumri 2
09 Aug
Araks Ararat
3 : 1
Ararat Yerevan 2
Page 1 of 6

Shirak Gyumri 2

(Away)
09 Oct
Pyunik Yerevan 2
1 : 2
Shirak Gyumri 2
21 Sept
Shirak Gyumri 2
2 : 1
Noah 2
15 Sept
Olympia Yerevan
3 : 0
Shirak Gyumri 2
19 Aug
Ararat Yerevan 2
1 : 2
Shirak Gyumri 2
15 Aug
Shirak Gyumri 2
1 : 1
Araks Ararat
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olympia Yerevan 7 6 1 0 18:5 19
2 Andranik 8 5 1 2 21:9 16
3 BKMA 2 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
4 Bentonit 8 4 3 1 25:16 15
5 Araks Ararat 7 3 3 1 10:6 12
6 Lernayin Artsakh 8 4 0 4 17:16 12
7 Pyunik Yerevan 2 9 3 2 4 14:16 11
8 Mika 8 3 2 3 15:16 11
9 Shirak Gyumri 2 7 3 1 3 7:12 10
10 Urartu 2 8 1 5 2 11:17 8
11 Ararat Yerevan 2 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
12 Noah 2 8 1 3 4 8:20 6
13 Ararat-Armenia 2 8 1 2 5 8:16 5
14 Sardarapat 2 8 1 0 7 6:18 3
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