Sport Picks
Ararat Yerevan vs Ararat-Armenia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Armenia
Premier League Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium, Yerevan 
Match Events
34'
34'
42'
42'
48'
48'
Sandro Lima
AI Match Summary
Ararat-Armenia in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ararat-Armenia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ararat-Armenia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ararat Yerevan haven't matched Ararat-Armenia's recent run of results.
- Model gives Ararat-Armenia a 53% chance of winning this.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Ararat-Armenia here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Ararat Yerevan Clean Sheet 20%
Ararat-Armenia Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ararat Yerevan | Ararat-Armenia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 37 |
| Wins | 10 | 22 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 16 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.78 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 0.95 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 Club Friendly
Ararat Yerevan vs Ararat-Armenia
0:4
Sep 5, 2026 Premier League
Ararat Yerevan vs Ararat-Armenia
0:1
Apr 25, 2026 Premier League
Ararat-Armenia vs Ararat Yerevan
4:0
Nov 21, 2025 Premier League
Ararat Yerevan vs Ararat-Armenia
1:2
Aug 30, 2025 Premier League
Ararat-Armenia vs Ararat Yerevan
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ararat Yerevan Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Ararat-Armenia Compare
Top Goalscorer Sandro Lima
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ararat Yerevan 28 / 100
Ararat-Armenia 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ararat Yerevan Ararat-Armenia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ararat-Armenia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Ararat Yerevan found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).
Ararat-Armenia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 37 matches.
Ararat Yerevan went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ararat Yerevan VS Ararat-Armenia
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ararat Yerevan
(Home) 03 Oct
Ararat Yerevan
0 : 4 Ararat-Armenia
20 Sept
Ararat Yerevan
1 : 0 Syunik
12 Sept
FC Gandzasar
0 : 2 Ararat Yerevan
05 Sept
Ararat Yerevan
0 : 1 Ararat-Armenia
30 Aug
Noah
4 : 0 Ararat Yerevan
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Ararat Yerevan
0 : 4 Ararat-Armenia
20 Sept
Ararat Yerevan
1 : 0 Syunik
05 Sept
Ararat Yerevan
0 : 1 Ararat-Armenia
21 Aug
Ararat Yerevan
0 : 2 Pyunik Yerevan
07 Aug
Ararat Yerevan
1 : 2 Sardarapat
Page 1 of 4
Ararat-Armenia
(Away) 10 Oct
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 1 Alashkert
03 Oct
Ararat Yerevan
0 : 4 Ararat-Armenia
20 Sept
Shirak Gyumri
1 : 3 Ararat-Armenia
16 Sept
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 4 Sparta Prague
11 Sept
Ararat-Armenia
3 : 0 Syunik
Page 1 of 8
03 Oct
Ararat Yerevan
0 : 4 Ararat-Armenia
20 Sept
Shirak Gyumri
1 : 3 Ararat-Armenia
05 Sept
Ararat Yerevan
0 : 1 Ararat-Armenia
31 Aug
Pyunik Yerevan
2 : 1 Ararat-Armenia
20 Aug
Univ. Craiova
1 : 1 Ararat-Armenia
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Noah | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 21:5 | 24 |
| 2 | Ararat-Armenia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 18:9 | 20 |
| 3 | Pyunik Yerevan | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 18:8 | 18 |
| 4 | Alashkert | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 19:7 | 16 |
| 5 | Sardarapat | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:12 | 12 |
| 6 | Urartu | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:10 | 11 |
| 7 | Shirak Gyumri | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:10 | 10 |
| 8 | Ararat Yerevan | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6:13 | 9 |
| 9 | BKMA | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | 8 |
| 10 | Van | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6:21 | 7 |
| 11 | FC Gandzasar | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8:22 | 3 |
| 12 | Syunik | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3:17 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027/2028 (Main)
