Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ararat Yerevan vs Pyunik Yerevan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Armenia Armenia

Premier League Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium, Yerevan
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Hovhannisyan K.
45'
Aslanyan A.
46'
Sub
Aslanyan A. In: Alaverdyan N.
Out: Aslanyan A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Ararat Yerevan and Pyunik Yerevan finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pyunik Yerevan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Ararat Yerevan
20%
Draws
52%
Pyunik Yerevan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pyunik Yerevan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Ararat Yerevan haven't matched Pyunik Yerevan's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Pyunik Yerevan a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Pyunik Yerevan here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Ararat Yerevan Clean Sheet 14%
Pyunik Yerevan Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ararat Yerevan Pyunik Yerevan
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 4 8
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.14 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Premier League
Ararat Yerevan vs Pyunik Yerevan
0:2
Apr 18, 2026 Premier League
Ararat Yerevan vs Pyunik Yerevan
1:0
Nov 30, 2025 Premier League
Pyunik Yerevan vs Ararat Yerevan
2:0
Aug 22, 2025 Premier League
Ararat Yerevan vs Pyunik Yerevan
0:2
May 17, 2025 Premier League
Pyunik Yerevan vs Ararat Yerevan
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ararat Yerevan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Pyunik Yerevan Compare

Top Goalscorer Tarakhchyan G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Afyan V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ararat Yerevan 10 / 100
Pyunik Yerevan 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ararat Yerevan Pyunik Yerevan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pyunik Yerevan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ararat Yerevan scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Pyunik Yerevan has conceded goals in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Ararat Yerevan stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ararat Yerevan VS Pyunik Yerevan
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ararat Yerevan

(Home)
03 Oct
Ararat Yerevan
0 : 4
Ararat-Armenia
20 Sept
Ararat Yerevan
1 : 0
Syunik
12 Sept
FC Gandzasar
0 : 2
Ararat Yerevan
05 Sept
Ararat Yerevan
0 : 1
Ararat-Armenia
30 Aug
Noah
4 : 0
Ararat Yerevan
Page 1 of 6

Pyunik Yerevan

(Away)
19 Sept
Alashkert
3 : 3
Pyunik Yerevan
13 Sept
Pyunik Yerevan
2 : 0
Shirak Gyumri
09 Sept
Sardarapat
2 : 4
Pyunik Yerevan
04 Sept
Syunik
0 : 0
Pyunik Yerevan
31 Aug
Pyunik Yerevan
2 : 1
Ararat-Armenia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Noah 8 8 0 0 21:5 24
2 Ararat-Armenia 8 6 1 1 17:8 19
3 Pyunik Yerevan 8 5 3 0 18:8 18
4 Alashkert 8 4 3 1 18:6 15
5 Sardarapat 8 3 3 2 14:12 12
6 Urartu 8 3 2 3 12:10 11
7 Shirak Gyumri 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
8 Ararat Yerevan 8 3 0 5 6:13 9
9 BKMA 8 2 2 4 8:10 8
10 Van 8 1 1 6 4:21 4
11 FC Gandzasar 8 1 0 7 8:20 3
12 Syunik 8 0 2 6 3:17 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027/2028 (Main)