Sport Picks
Ararat Yerevan vs Shirak Gyumri - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Armenia
Premier League Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium, Yerevan 
AI Match Summary
Ararat Yerevan host Shirak Gyumri in the Premier League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Ararat Yerevan have averaged 1.13 scored and 1.83 conceded recently, against Shirak Gyumri's 0.89 scored and 1.56 conceded. Head-to-head, Ararat Yerevan have won 3 to Shirak Gyumri's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 1, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.00 - 1.50) back Ararat Yerevan to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Ararat Yerevan lately — more wins on the board than Shirak Gyumri.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ararat Yerevan | Shirak Gyumri |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 27 |
| Wins | 10 | 6 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 16 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 0.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ararat Yerevan found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).
Shirak Gyumri's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Shirak Gyumri lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Ararat Yerevan
(Home)Shirak Gyumri
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Noah | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 21:5 | 24 |
| 2 | Ararat-Armenia | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Pyunik Yerevan | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 18:8 | 18 |
| 4 | Alashkert | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18:6 | 15 |
| 5 | Sardarapat | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:12 | 12 |
| 6 | Urartu | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:10 | 11 |
| 7 | Shirak Gyumri | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:10 | 10 |
| 8 | Ararat Yerevan | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6:13 | 9 |
| 9 | BKMA | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | 8 |
| 10 | Van | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4:21 | 4 |
| 11 | FC Gandzasar | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8:20 | 3 |
| 12 | Syunik | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3:17 | 2 |
