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Araucaria vs Parana

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 2
Araucaria Logo

Araucaria

0 - 1
FT
Parana Logo

Parana

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Daniel Cruz
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Parana in this Paranaense 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Parana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Araucaria
20%
Draws
44%
Parana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Parana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Araucaria haven't matched Parana's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Paranaense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Parana have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Araucaria Clean Sheet 10%
Parana Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araucaria Parana
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.48 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.39 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Paranaense 2
Parana vs Araucaria
2:1
May 17, 2026 Paranaense 2
Araucaria vs Parana
0:2
Apr 17, 2026 Paranaense 2
Araucaria vs Parana
0:1
Jun 16, 2023 Paranaense 2
Parana vs Araucaria
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Araucaria Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Parana Compare

Top Goalscorer Daniel Cruz
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araucaria 34 / 100
Parana 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araucaria Parana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araucaria scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Araucaria went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Parana has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Araucaria VS Parana
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Araucaria

(Home)
23 May
Parana
2 : 1
Araucaria
17 May
Araucaria
0 : 2
Parana
11 May
Araucaria
1 : 0
Rio Branco PR
03 May
Rio Branco PR
2 : 5
Araucaria
25 Apr
Batel
0 : 1
Araucaria
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Parana

(Away)
27 Sept
Parana
3 : 0
Paranavai-PR
21 Sept
Londrina B
2 : 2
Parana
13 Sept
Azuriz
0 : 0
Parana
05 Sept
Parana
2 : 1
FC Cascavel
29 Aug
Athletico-PR B
1 : 2
Parana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parana 9 7 2 0 14:3 23
2 Patriotas 9 6 1 2 16:9 19
3 Laranja Mecanica 9 4 2 3 7:9 14
4 Araucaria 9 3 3 3 13:14 12
5 Rio Branco PR 9 2 5 2 16:14 11
6 Paranavai-PR 9 3 1 5 10:11 10
7 Nacional PR 9 2 4 3 9:12 10
8 Toledo 9 2 4 3 6:10 10
9 Batel 9 2 3 4 10:10 9
10 Prudentopolis 9 1 1 7 4:13 4
Promotion - Paranaense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paranaense 3 2027 (Main)