Sport Picks

Brazil

Paranaense 2

Araucaria

1 - 3

Patriotas

Our Tip

Match Events

Nivaldo

54'

Albanez V.

64'

Vinicius Ribeiro

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Patriotas in this Paranaense 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Patriotas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Araucaria

39%

Draws

31%

Patriotas

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Araucaria haven't matched Patriotas's recent run of results.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
Regular Paranaense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Araucaria Clean Sheet 15%

Patriotas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Araucaria	Patriotas
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	14
Draws	8	6
Losses	12	10
Goals Scored	2	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.63	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Paranaense 2

Araucaria vs Patriotas

Possession: 41% - 57% Cards: 3 - 2

1:3

May 27, 2023 Paranaense 2

Patriotas vs Araucaria

Possession: 58% - 48% Cards: 4 - 2

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Araucaria Compare

Top Goalscorer Albanez V.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Patriotas Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius Ribeiro

2 Goals

Assists Leader Nivaldo

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araucaria 30 / 100

Patriotas 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Araucaria Patriotas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Araucaria's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Patriotas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Araucaria remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Araucaria VS Patriotas

2 Goals Scored 1.5

1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88

50% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Parana	9	7	2	0	14:3	23
2	Patriotas	9	6	1	2	16:9	19
3	Laranja Mecanica	9	4	2	3	7:9	14
4	Araucaria	9	3	3	3	13:14	12
5	Rio Branco PR	9	2	5	2	16:14	11
6	Paranavai-PR	9	3	1	5	10:11	10
7	Nacional PR	9	2	4	3	9:12	10
8	Toledo	9	2	4	3	6:10	10
9	Batel	9	2	3	4	10:10	9
10	Prudentopolis	9	1	1	7	4:13	4