Sport Picks

Brazil

Mineiro 3 2022

Coimbra Esporte Clube

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Araxa play Coimbra Esporte Clube in the Mineiro 3 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Araxa averaged 1.05 goals scored and 0.65 conceded. Coimbra Esporte Clube averaged 1.69 goals scored and 0.91 conceded. In past meetings, Araxa won 1, Coimbra Esporte Clube won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 15, 2022 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Araxa and 1.55 for Coimbra Esporte Clube. This points to a Coimbra Esporte Clube double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Araxa

34%

Draws

33%

Coimbra Esporte Clube

Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Coimbra Esporte Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence

Araxa picked up more points recently compared to Coimbra Esporte Clube.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.55 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 60%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 23%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

Araxa Clean Sheet 15%

Coimbra Esporte Clube Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 54%

Second Half Goal 57%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Araxa	Coimbra Esporte Clube
Matches Played	20	32
Wins	9	15
Draws	7	11
Losses	4	6
Goals Scored	1.05	1.69
Goals Conceded	0.65	0.91

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2022 Mineiro 3

Araxa vs Coimbra Esporte Clube

Possession: 41% - 42% Cards: 0 - 3

1:2

Oct 7, 2022 Mineiro 3

Coimbra Esporte Clube vs Araxa

Possession: 54% - 57% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Aug 20, 2022 Mineiro 3

Araxa vs Coimbra Esporte Clube

Possession: 60% - 43% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araxa 33 / 100

Coimbra Esporte Clube 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Araxa Coimbra Esporte Clube

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Coimbra Esporte Clube or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +32%

4.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +18.9%

3.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Araxa attacking → ← attacking Coimbra Esporte Clube

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araxa scored in 75% of their last 20 games.

Coimbra Esporte Clube let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Araxa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Coimbra Esporte Clube lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 56

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.00

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13