Sport Picks

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Araxa vs Coimbra Esporte Clube

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Araxa in this Mineiro 3 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Araxa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Araxa
30%
Draws
39%
Coimbra Esporte Clube
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Coimbra Esporte Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Coimbra Esporte Clube lately — more wins on the board than Araxa.
  • Araxa are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Araxa Clean Sheet 12%
Coimbra Esporte Clube Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araxa Coimbra Esporte Clube
Matches Played 20 35
Wins 8 17
Draws 6 12
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.15 1.74
Goals Conceded 0.85 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2022 Mineiro 3
Araxa vs Coimbra Esporte Clube
1:2
Oct 7, 2022 Mineiro 3
Coimbra Esporte Clube vs Araxa
0:0
Aug 20, 2022 Mineiro 3
Araxa vs Coimbra Esporte Clube
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araxa 47 / 100
Coimbra Esporte Clube 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araxa Coimbra Esporte Clube

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araxa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Araxa scored in 75% of their last 20 outings.

Defensive concern: Coimbra Esporte Clube conceded in 63% of 35 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Araxa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Araxa VS Coimbra Esporte Clube
1 Goals Scored 2.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Araxa

(Home)
03 Oct
Siderurgica
0 : 3
Araxa
26 Sept
Araxa
1 : 2
Paracatu
18 Sept
Sao Joao del Rei
2 : 0
Araxa
07 Nov
Mamore
2 : 1
Araxa
28 Oct
Araxa
1 : 1
Mamore
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Coimbra Esporte Clube

(Away)
11 Jul
Ipatinga
3 : 2
Coimbra Esporte Clube
05 Jul
Coimbra Esporte Clube
0 : 0
Valeriodoce
01 Jul
Coimbra Esporte Clube
2 : 1
Villa Nova AC
27 Jun
Democrata SL
1 : 0
Coimbra Esporte Clube
24 Jun
Coimbra Esporte Clube
0 : 0
Aymores
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Esporte Clube 7 5 1 1 12:5 16
2 Valeriodoce 7 5 1 1 11:5 16
3 America TO 7 4 2 1 11:6 14
4 Novo Esporte 7 4 1 2 13:8 13
5 Boston City 7 2 3 2 11:8 9
6 Contagem 7 2 2 3 8:7 8
7 Juventus Minasnovense 7 1 0 6 8:14 3
8 Ideal FC 7 0 0 7 0:21 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itabirito 7 6 0 1 12:1 18
2 Villa Real 7 4 1 2 7:4 13
3 Santarritense 7 3 3 1 8:4 12
4 Tres Coracoes 7 3 1 3 12:13 10
5 Passos 7 2 3 2 5:5 9
6 Figueirense Esporte Clube 7 1 4 2 6:10 7
7 Betis 7 1 3 3 5:8 6
8 Pocos de Caldas 7 0 1 6 2:12 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araxa 7 5 2 0 7:2 17
2 Coimbra Esporte Clube 7 4 1 2 13:8 13
3 Nacional Uberaba 7 4 0 3 11:8 12
4 Mamore 7 3 3 1 12:8 12
5 Inter de Minas 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
6 Serranense 7 1 3 3 8:10 6
7 Paracatu 7 1 3 3 7:12 6
8 Sao Gotardo 7 0 2 5 4:13 2
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)