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Araxa vs Coimbra Esporte Clube

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Araxa play Coimbra Esporte Clube in the Mineiro 3 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Araxa averaged 1.05 goals scored and 0.65 conceded. Coimbra Esporte Clube averaged 1.58 goals scored and 0.92 conceded. In past meetings, Araxa won 1, Coimbra Esporte Clube won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 15, 2022 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Araxa and 1.55 for Coimbra Esporte Clube. This points to a Araxa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Araxa
33%
Draws
32%
Coimbra Esporte Clube
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Araxa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Araxa picked up more points recently compared to Coimbra Esporte Clube.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.55 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Araxa Clean Sheet 15%
Coimbra Esporte Clube Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 53%
Second Half Goal 56%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araxa Coimbra Esporte Clube
Matches Played 20 36
Wins 9 16
Draws 7 12
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 1.05 1.58
Goals Conceded 0.65 0.92

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2022 Mineiro 3
Araxa vs Coimbra Esporte Clube
1:2
Oct 7, 2022 Mineiro 3
Coimbra Esporte Clube vs Araxa
0:0
Aug 20, 2022 Mineiro 3
Araxa vs Coimbra Esporte Clube
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araxa 35 / 100
Coimbra Esporte Clube 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araxa Coimbra Esporte Clube

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Araxa or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Araxa attacking → ← attacking Coimbra Esporte Clube

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araxa scored in 75% of their last 20 games.

Coimbra Esporte Clube let in goals in 64% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Araxa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Coimbra Esporte Clube lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 60
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1North Esporte Clube751112:516
2Valeriodoce751111:516
3America TO742111:614
4Novo Esporte741213:813
5Boston City723211:89
6Contagem72238:78
7Juventus Minasnovense71068:143
8Ideal FC70070:210
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Itabirito760112:118
2Villa Real74127:413
3Santarritense73318:412
4Tres Coracoes731312:1310
5Passos72325:59
6Figueirense Esporte Clube71426:107
7Betis71335:86
8Pocos de Caldas70162:121
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Araxa75207:217
2Coimbra Esporte Clube741213:813
3Nacional Uberaba740311:812
4Mamore733112:812
5Inter de Minas72237:88
6Serranense71338:106
7Paracatu71337:126
8Sao Gotardo70254:132