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Araxa vs Nacional Uberaba

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Araxa in this Mineiro 3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Araxa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Araxa
28%
Draws
22%
Nacional Uberaba
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Araxa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Nacional Uberaba at 1.75 per game, Araxa at 0.
  • Win probability leans Araxa's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Araxa Clean Sheet 17%
Nacional Uberaba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araxa Nacional Uberaba
Matches Played 20 27
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 0 1.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2024 Mineiro 3
Nacional Uberaba vs Araxa
0:0
Aug 31, 2024 Mineiro 3
Araxa vs Nacional Uberaba
0:0
Oct 14, 2023 Mineiro 3
Nacional Uberaba vs Araxa
1:1
Sep 2, 2023 Mineiro 3
Araxa vs Nacional Uberaba
4:1
Aug 27, 2022 Mineiro 3
Araxa vs Nacional Uberaba
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araxa 48 / 100
Nacional Uberaba 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araxa Nacional Uberaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araxa scored in 75% of their last 20 games.

Nacional Uberaba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Araxa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Araxa VS Nacional Uberaba
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Araxa

(Home)
07 Nov
Mamore
2 : 1
Araxa
28 Oct
Araxa
1 : 1
Mamore
14 Oct
Nacional Uberaba
1 : 1
Araxa
08 Oct
Araxa
1 : 0
Pirapora
02 Oct
Mamore
2 : 1
Araxa
Page 1 of 4

Nacional Uberaba

(Away)
11 Oct
Juventus Minasnovense
2 : 2
Nacional Uberaba
06 Oct
Nacional Uberaba
1 : 0
Passos
20 Sept
Essube
3 : 1
Nacional Uberaba
07 Sept
Boa
2 : 0
Nacional Uberaba
01 Sept
Nacional Uberaba
1 : 1
Paracatu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America TO65108:216
2Valeriodoce64026:412
3Juventus Minasnovense62137:77
4Boston City60064:120
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guarani-MG650110:215
2Pocos de Caldas63126:610
3Villa Real51131:44
4Tres Coracoes51042:73
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Contagem64115:213
2Coimbra Esporte Clube632113:311
3Inter de Minas63128:610
4Serranense60064:190
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mamore862016:420
2Araxa842211:614
3Paracatu73139:810
4Nacional Uberaba71334:96
5Pirapora81073:163
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)