Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Araxa in this Mineiro 3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Araxa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Araxa lately — more wins on the board than Nacional Uberaba.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Araxa Clean Sheet 20%
Nacional Uberaba Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Araxa | Nacional Uberaba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 21 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 5 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.76 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 19, 2024 Mineiro 3
Nacional Uberaba vs Araxa
0:0
Aug 31, 2024 Mineiro 3
Araxa vs Nacional Uberaba
0:0
Oct 14, 2023 Mineiro 3
Nacional Uberaba vs Araxa
1:1
Sep 2, 2023 Mineiro 3
Araxa vs Nacional Uberaba
4:1
Aug 27, 2022 Mineiro 3
Araxa vs Nacional Uberaba
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Araxa 31 / 100
Nacional Uberaba 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Araxa Nacional Uberaba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Araxa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Araxa scored in 76% of their last 21 games.
Nacional Uberaba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Araxa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Araxa VS Nacional Uberaba
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
13% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Araxa
(Home) 18 Sept
Sao Joao del Rei
2 : 0 Araxa
07 Nov
Mamore
2 : 1 Araxa
28 Oct
Araxa
1 : 1 Mamore
14 Oct
Nacional Uberaba
1 : 1 Araxa
08 Oct
Araxa
1 : 0 Pirapora
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28 Oct
Araxa
1 : 1 Mamore
08 Oct
Araxa
1 : 0 Pirapora
28 Sept
Araxa
2 : 0 Paracatu
16 Sept
Araxa
1 : 1 Mamore
02 Sept
Araxa
4 : 1 Nacional Uberaba
Page 1 of 2
Nacional Uberaba
(Away) 11 Oct
Juventus Minasnovense
2 : 2 Nacional Uberaba
06 Oct
Nacional Uberaba
1 : 0 Passos
20 Sept
Essube
3 : 1 Nacional Uberaba
07 Sept
Boa
2 : 0 Nacional Uberaba
01 Sept
Nacional Uberaba
1 : 1 Paracatu
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11 Oct
Juventus Minasnovense
2 : 2 Nacional Uberaba
20 Sept
Essube
3 : 1 Nacional Uberaba
07 Sept
Boa
2 : 0 Nacional Uberaba
12 Oct
Uberaba
3 : 1 Nacional Uberaba
02 Oct
Essube
4 : 3 Nacional Uberaba
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America TO | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 16 |
| 2 | Valeriodoce | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 12 |
| 3 | Juventus Minasnovense | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 7 |
| 4 | Boston City | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:12 | 0 |
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guarani-MG | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Pocos de Caldas | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Villa Real | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Tres Coracoes | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:7 | 3 |
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Contagem | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 13 |
| 2 | Coimbra Esporte Clube | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:3 | 11 |
| 3 | Inter de Minas | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 4 | Serranense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:19 | 0 |
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mamore | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16:4 | 20 |
| 2 | Araxa | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 14 |
| 3 | Paracatu | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 4 | Nacional Uberaba | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 5 | Pirapora | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3:16 | 3 |
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)
