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Araxa vs Sao Gotardo

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2022 game between Araxa and Sao Gotardo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Araxa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Araxa
35%
Draws
19%
Sao Gotardo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Araxa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Araxa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Araxa's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Araxa Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Gotardo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araxa Sao Gotardo
Matches Played 20 7
Wins 9 0
Draws 6 2
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 1.05 0.57
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2022 Mineiro 3
Araxa vs Sao Gotardo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araxa 76 / 100
Sao Gotardo 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araxa Sao Gotardo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araxa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Gotardo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 7 matches.

Araxa found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (20 games).

Solid form: Araxa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Sao Gotardo has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Araxa VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Araxa

(Home)
18 Sept
Sao Joao del Rei
2 : 0
Araxa
07 Nov
Mamore
2 : 1
Araxa
28 Oct
Araxa
1 : 1
Mamore
14 Oct
Nacional Uberaba
1 : 1
Araxa
08 Oct
Araxa
1 : 0
Pirapora
Page 1 of 4

Sao Gotardo

(Away)
17 Sept
Inter de Minas
2 : 0
Sao Gotardo
10 Sept
Sao Gotardo
1 : 2
Coimbra Esporte Clube
03 Sept
Sao Gotardo
1 : 1
Serranense
28 Aug
Paracatu
1 : 1
Sao Gotardo
20 Aug
Mamore
4 : 1
Sao Gotardo
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Esporte Clube 7 5 1 1 12:5 16
2 Valeriodoce 7 5 1 1 11:5 16
3 America TO 7 4 2 1 11:6 14
4 Novo Esporte 7 4 1 2 13:8 13
5 Boston City 7 2 3 2 11:8 9
6 Contagem 7 2 2 3 8:7 8
7 Juventus Minasnovense 7 1 0 6 8:14 3
8 Ideal FC 7 0 0 7 0:21 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itabirito 7 6 0 1 12:1 18
2 Villa Real 7 4 1 2 7:4 13
3 Santarritense 7 3 3 1 8:4 12
4 Tres Coracoes 7 3 1 3 12:13 10
5 Passos 7 2 3 2 5:5 9
6 Figueirense Esporte Clube 7 1 4 2 6:10 7
7 Betis 7 1 3 3 5:8 6
8 Pocos de Caldas 7 0 1 6 2:12 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araxa 7 5 2 0 7:2 17
2 Coimbra Esporte Clube 7 4 1 2 13:8 13
3 Nacional Uberaba 7 4 0 3 11:8 12
4 Mamore 7 3 3 1 12:8 12
5 Inter de Minas 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
6 Serranense 7 1 3 3 8:10 6
7 Paracatu 7 1 3 3 7:12 6
8 Sao Gotardo 7 0 2 5 4:13 2
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)