Sport Picks
Araz PFK vs SumQayit FK
Azerbaijan
Premier League 2025/2026 Liv Bona Dea Arena, Baku 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Araz PFK in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Araz PFK.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Araz PFK have won more games recently than SumQayit FK.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Araz PFK | SumQayit FK |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 5 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 0.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Araz PFK found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
SumQayit FK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: SumQayit FK has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Araz PFK
(Home)SumQayit FK
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 33 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 75:25 | 78 |
| 2 | Qarabag Agdam | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 71:27 | 69 |
| 3 | Turan | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 44:27 | 59 |
| 4 | Neftci Baku | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 57:32 | 59 |
| 5 | Zira FK | 33 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 43:36 | 53 |
| 6 | Araz PFK | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 44:58 | 46 |
| 7 | SumQayit FK | 33 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 45:49 | 41 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 31:40 | 38 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 23:43 | 34 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 33 | 8 | 3 | 22 | 25:61 | 27 |
| 11 | Gabala | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 32:49 | 27 |
| 12 | Karvan | 33 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 23:66 | 15 |
