Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Araz PFK vs Susa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2013/2014
Araz PFK Logo

Araz PFK

1 - 0
FT
Susa Logo

Susa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Araz PFK in this First Division 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Araz PFK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Araz PFK
20%
Draws
40%
Susa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Susa lately — more wins on the board than Araz PFK.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Araz PFK Clean Sheet 15%
Susa Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araz PFK Susa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2014 I Liqa
Susa vs Araz PFK
1:1
Nov 23, 2013 I Liqa
Araz PFK vs Susa
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araz PFK 35 / 100
Susa 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araz PFK Susa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Susa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araz PFK found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Susa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Susa lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Araz PFK VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Araz PFK

(Home)
20 Sept
Shamakhi
2 : 1
Araz PFK
13 Sept
Araz PFK
2 : 2
Turan
06 Sept
Qarabag Agdam
3 : 2
Araz PFK
31 Aug
Araz PFK
0 : 1
Sabah Baku
23 Aug
Neftci Baku
5 : 0
Araz PFK
Page 1 of 6

Susa

(Away)
27 May
Susa
1 : 2
Agsu (Inactive)
23 May
MOIK Baku
3 : 1
Susa
14 May
Susa
1 : 2
Kapaz
07 May
ANSAD Neftcala
3 : 2
Susa
30 Apr
Susa
1 : 1
Lokbatan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araz PFK 30 25 4 1 66:11 79
2 ANSAD Neftcala 30 21 5 4 80:22 68
3 Lokbatan 30 18 9 3 52:14 63
4 Agsu (Inactive) 30 17 7 6 56:26 58
5 Sahdag Qusar 30 16 7 7 55:22 55
6 Susa 30 15 9 6 60:26 54
7 Turan 30 13 5 12 52:46 44
8 Karvan 30 12 6 12 46:56 42
9 Imisli FK 30 11 7 12 29:33 40
10 Bilajary 30 12 3 15 42:58 39
11 Shamkir 30 8 7 15 28:42 31
12 MOIK Baku 30 7 8 15 37:56 29
13 Kapaz 30 7 4 19 29:37 25
14 Bakili Baku 30 6 6 18 34:60 24
15 Goyazan Qazax 30 3 2 25 13:89 11
16 Mingachevir 30 2 5 23 11:92 11
Promotion - Premier League 2014/2015 (Main)