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Araz PFK vs Turan Prediction & H2H Stats

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League 2025/2026 SOCAR Polymer Arena, Sumqayit
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Match Events

46'
Sub
Guseynov A. In: Wadji I.
Out: Guseynov A.
46'
Wadji I.
52'
Jo Batista

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Araz PFK and Turan finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Turan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Araz PFK
30%
Draws
62%
Turan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Turan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Turan come out ahead of Araz PFK on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Turan's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Araz PFK Clean Sheet 17%
Turan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araz PFK Turan
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 15
Draws 5 9
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.1 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.87 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Premier League
Araz PFK vs Turan
2:2
Apr 17, 2026 Premier League
Araz PFK vs Turan
0:3
Nov 22, 2025 Premier League
Araz PFK vs Turan
1:1
Aug 24, 2025 Premier League
Turan vs Araz PFK
1:2
Apr 18, 2025 Premier League
Araz PFK vs Turan
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Araz PFK Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Turan Compare

Top Goalscorer Jo Batista
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wadji I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araz PFK 12 / 100
Turan 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araz PFK Turan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Araz PFK scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Turan let in goals in 52% of their last 31 matches.

Araz PFK has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Araz PFK VS Turan
1 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Araz PFK

(Home)
20 Sept
Shamakhi
2 : 1
Araz PFK
13 Sept
Araz PFK
2 : 2
Turan
06 Sept
Qarabag Agdam
3 : 2
Araz PFK
31 Aug
Araz PFK
0 : 1
Sabah Baku
23 Aug
Neftci Baku
5 : 0
Araz PFK
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Turan

(Away)
19 Sept
Turan
1 : 0
Zira FK
13 Sept
Araz PFK
2 : 2
Turan
06 Sept
Turan
2 : 1
SumQayit FK
30 Aug
Kapaz
1 : 0
Turan
23 Aug
Turan
0 : 0
Shamakhi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sabah Baku 33 24 6 3 75:25 78
2 Qarabag Agdam 33 21 6 6 71:27 69
3 Turan 33 17 8 8 44:27 59
4 Neftci Baku 33 16 11 6 57:32 59
5 Zira FK 33 13 14 6 43:36 53
6 Araz PFK 33 13 7 13 44:58 46
7 SumQayit FK 33 12 5 16 45:49 41
8 Shamakhi 33 9 11 13 31:40 38
9 Imisli FK 33 7 13 13 23:43 34
10 Kapaz 33 8 3 22 25:61 27
11 Gabala 33 7 6 20 32:49 27
12 Karvan 33 3 6 24 23:66 15
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - I Liqa (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)