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Arba vs JSM Tiaret - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 2
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arba host JSM Tiaret in the Ligue 2. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. JSM Tiaret have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while Arba have conceded 1.27 and scored 0.83. Head-to-head, Arba have won 2 to JSM Tiaret's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 13, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.50) point toward Arba. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Arba
15%
Draws
49%
JSM Tiaret
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: JSM Tiaret

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arba come out ahead of JSM Tiaret on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans JSM Tiaret's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Arba Clean Sheet 16%
JSM Tiaret Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arba JSM Tiaret
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.83 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Ligue 2
Arba vs JSM Tiaret
2:1
Oct 4, 2025 Ligue 2
JSM Tiaret vs Arba
3:0
Apr 12, 2025 Ligue 2
JSM Tiaret vs Arba
4:2
Nov 22, 2024 Ligue 2
Arba vs JSM Tiaret
1:1
May 11, 2024 Ligue 2
Arba vs JSM Tiaret
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arba 19 / 100
JSM Tiaret 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arba JSM Tiaret

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JSM Tiaret Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

JSM Tiaret has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

JSM Tiaret's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Arba scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Arba VS JSM Tiaret
0.75 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arba

(Home)
24 Oct
Hussein Dey
1 : 0
Arba
19 Oct
Arba
2 : 1
WA Mostaganem
15 Oct
Harrach
3 : 1
Arba
26 Sept
Arba
0 : 3
Kolea
19 Sept
GC Mascara
3 : 0
Arba
Page 1 of 6

JSM Tiaret

(Away)
24 Oct
JSM Tiaret
2 : 2
RC Kouba
17 Oct
Taghit
0 : 6
JSM Tiaret
13 Oct
Saida
1 : 0
JSM Tiaret
09 Oct
JSM Tiaret
0 : 1
ASM Oran
03 Oct
WA Mostaganem
3 : 1
JSM Tiaret
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Azazga 7 4 2 1 9:4 14
2 MSP Batna 7 4 2 1 7:4 14
3 Annaba 7 4 1 2 11:5 13
4 Skikda 6 4 0 2 7:4 12
5 Khroub 7 3 3 1 6:4 12
6 Magra 7 3 2 2 6:7 11
7 MO Bejaia 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
8 MO Constantine 7 2 4 1 5:4 10
9 CA Batna 7 2 3 2 5:4 9
10 Telaghema 7 2 2 3 8:9 8
11 Beni Oulbane 7 2 2 3 4:5 8
12 US Chaouia 7 2 2 3 3:7 8
13 Paradou 6 2 1 3 6:6 7
14 IRB Nezla 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
15 Beni Thour 6 1 0 5 6:13 3
16 JS Djijel 6 0 2 4 2:8 2
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USM Blida 7 5 2 0 12:3 17
2 GC Mascara 7 5 2 0 12:3 17
3 RC Kouba 7 4 3 0 13:3 15
4 Saida 6 4 2 0 7:3 14
5 ASM Oran 7 3 2 2 10:4 11
6 Harrach 7 3 2 2 9:7 11
7 Mostaganem 7 3 2 2 9:7 11
8 Sidi Benali 7 3 2 2 10:10 11
9 Hussein Dey 7 3 0 4 8:9 9
10 WA Mostaganem 7 1 4 2 8:9 7
11 Tlemcen 6 2 1 3 4:7 7
12 Kolea 7 2 0 5 9:14 6
13 JSM Tiaret 7 1 2 4 11:10 5
14 El Bayadh 7 0 3 4 1:7 3
15 Arba 5 1 0 4 3:11 3
16 Taghit 7 0 1 6 2:21 1
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)