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Arba vs JSM Tiaret Prediction & H2H Stats

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Arba and JSM Tiaret finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Arba
15%
Draws
34%
JSM Tiaret
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • JSM Tiaret's 1.1 goals per match outpaces what Arba have produced (0.76).
  • Model gives JSM Tiaret a 34% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Arba Clean Sheet 21%
JSM Tiaret Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arba JSM Tiaret
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.76 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Ligue 2
Arba vs JSM Tiaret
2:1
Oct 4, 2025 Ligue 2
JSM Tiaret vs Arba
3:0
Apr 12, 2025 Ligue 2
JSM Tiaret vs Arba
4:2
Nov 22, 2024 Ligue 2
Arba vs JSM Tiaret
1:1
May 11, 2024 Ligue 2
Arba vs JSM Tiaret
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arba 29 / 100
JSM Tiaret 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arba JSM Tiaret

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JSM Tiaret Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

JSM Tiaret has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

JSM Tiaret's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Arba scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Arba VS JSM Tiaret
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arba

(Home)
19 Sept
GC Mascara
3 : 0
Arba
09 May
JS El Biar
4 : 1
Arba
01 May
Arba
2 : 1
Bechar Djedid
25 Apr
CR Temouchent
1 : 0
Arba
18 Apr
Arba
2 : 0
Adrar
Page 1 of 6

JSM Tiaret

(Away)
26 Sept
JSM Tiaret
1 : 1
Harrach
19 Sept
Tlemcen
2 : 1
JSM Tiaret
08 May
Bechar Djedid
3 : 1
JSM Tiaret
01 May
JSM Tiaret
0 : 1
CR Temouchent
25 Apr
Adrar
1 : 4
JSM Tiaret
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Biskra 30 19 5 6 41:16 62
2 CA Batna 30 18 6 6 40:18 60
3 US Chaouia 30 18 6 6 55:22 60
4 MO Bejaia 30 17 9 4 44:18 60
5 JS Djijel 30 14 9 7 41:28 51
6 Annaba 30 14 6 10 35:21 48
7 Magra 30 10 9 11 29:30 39
8 Beni Thour 30 10 7 13 27:39 37
9 MSP Batna 30 9 9 12 32:36 36
10 Telaghema 30 9 9 12 32:37 36
11 Beni Oulbane 30 9 9 12 28:34 36
12 MO Constantine 30 9 9 12 25:33 36
13 Bordj Menail 30 9 8 13 34:31 35
14 Khroub 30 9 9 12 31:31 35
15 IB Khemis El Khechna 30 5 7 18 27:51 22
16 Chelghoum 30 1 3 26 13:89 4
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 JS El Biar 30 24 4 2 53:17 76
2 Harrach 30 18 8 4 46:19 62
3 CR Temouchent 30 17 8 5 38:23 59
4 RC Kouba 30 17 8 5 33:14 59
5 ASM Oran 30 18 4 8 38:19 58
6 Hussein Dey 30 11 10 9 34:24 43
7 Tlemcen 30 11 7 12 28:32 40
8 JSM Tiaret 30 11 6 13 35:31 39
9 Kolea 30 9 9 12 26:34 36
10 WA Mostaganem 30 9 8 13 32:39 35
11 Saida 30 9 7 14 26:29 34
12 GC Mascara 30 8 7 15 28:36 31
13 Arba 30 9 5 16 24:41 29
14 Tixeraine 30 7 5 18 30:46 26
15 Adrar 30 5 5 20 26:64 20
16 Bechar Djedid 30 4 5 21 29:58 17
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)