Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Arba and Tlemcen finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arba.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Tlemcen carry the better recent record into this one.
- Arba are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Arba Clean Sheet 68%
Tlemcen Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arba | Tlemcen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 6, 2026 Ligue 2
Arba vs Tlemcen
2:1
Sep 30, 2025 Ligue 2
Tlemcen vs Arba
3:1
Apr 16, 2022 Ligue 1
Tlemcen vs Arba
2:1
Dec 24, 2021 Ligue 1
Arba vs Tlemcen
0:0
Mar 14, 2020 Ligue 2
Tlemcen vs Arba
3:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arba 50 / 100
Tlemcen 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arba Tlemcen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Arba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tlemcen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Difficult form: Tlemcen registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Arba scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Arba VS Tlemcen
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Arba
(Home) 09 May
JS El Biar
4 : 1 Arba
01 May
Arba
2 : 1 Bechar Djedid
25 Apr
CR Temouchent
1 : 0 Arba
18 Apr
Arba
2 : 0 Adrar
10 Apr
GC Mascara
2 : 1 Arba
Page 1 of 6
01 May
Arba
2 : 1 Bechar Djedid
18 Apr
Arba
2 : 0 Adrar
04 Apr
Arba
2 : 0 Harrach
14 Mar
Arba
2 : 2 WA Mostaganem
28 Feb
Arba
0 : 1 ASM Oran
Page 1 of 3
Tlemcen
(Away) 08 May
CR Temouchent
2 : 0 Tlemcen
01 May
Tlemcen
2 : 0 Kolea
25 Apr
JS El Biar
1 : 0 Tlemcen
18 Apr
Tlemcen
3 : 1 Bechar Djedid
10 Apr
RC Kouba
4 : 1 Tlemcen
Page 1 of 6
08 May
CR Temouchent
2 : 0 Tlemcen
25 Apr
JS El Biar
1 : 0 Tlemcen
10 Apr
RC Kouba
4 : 1 Tlemcen
27 Mar
ASM Oran
1 : 0 Tlemcen
09 Mar
Saida
0 : 1 Tlemcen
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Biskra | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 41:16 | 62 |
| 2 | CA Batna | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 40:18 | 60 |
| 3 | US Chaouia | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 55:22 | 60 |
| 4 | MO Bejaia | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 44:18 | 60 |
| 5 | JS Djijel | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 41:28 | 51 |
| 6 | Annaba | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 35:21 | 48 |
| 7 | Magra | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 29:30 | 39 |
| 8 | Beni Thour | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 27:39 | 37 |
| 9 | MSP Batna | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 32:36 | 36 |
| 10 | Telaghema | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 32:37 | 36 |
| 11 | Beni Oulbane | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 28:34 | 36 |
| 12 | MO Constantine | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 25:33 | 36 |
| 13 | Bordj Menail | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34:31 | 35 |
| 14 | Khroub | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:31 | 35 |
| 15 | IB Khemis El Khechna | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 27:51 | 22 |
| 16 | Chelghoum | 30 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 13:89 | 4 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JS El Biar | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 53:17 | 76 |
| 2 | Harrach | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 46:19 | 62 |
| 3 | CR Temouchent | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 38:23 | 59 |
| 4 | RC Kouba | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 33:14 | 59 |
| 5 | ASM Oran | 30 | 18 | 4 | 8 | 38:19 | 58 |
| 6 | Hussein Dey | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 34:24 | 43 |
| 7 | Tlemcen | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 28:32 | 40 |
| 8 | JSM Tiaret | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 35:31 | 39 |
| 9 | Kolea | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 26:34 | 36 |
| 10 | WA Mostaganem | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32:39 | 35 |
| 11 | Saida | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 26:29 | 34 |
| 12 | GC Mascara | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 28:36 | 31 |
| 13 | Arba | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 24:41 | 29 |
| 14 | Tixeraine | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 30:46 | 26 |
| 15 | Adrar | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 26:64 | 20 |
| 16 | Bechar Djedid | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 29:58 | 17 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
