Sport Picks

Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2023

Olafsvik

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Arbaer play Olafsvik in the Icelandic Cup 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Arbaer averaged 2 goals scored and 3 conceded. Olafsvik averaged 1.9 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, Arbaer won 2, Olafsvik won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 17, 2024 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.23 for Arbaer and 2.67 for Olafsvik. This points to a Arbaer double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Arbaer

15%

Draws

35%

Olafsvik

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arbaer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Arbaer picked up more points recently compared to Olafsvik.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.23 vs 2.67 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 83%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

Arbaer Clean Sheet 10%

Olafsvik Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 85%

Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Arbaer	Olafsvik
Matches Played	15	31
Wins	8	14
Draws	0	2
Losses	7	15
Goals Scored	2	1.9
Goals Conceded	3	2.13
Expected Goals (xG)	2.33	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.33	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2024 Fotbolti.net Cup

Arbaer vs Olafsvik

Possession: 52% - 46% Cards: 3 - 1

3:2

Apr 1, 2023 Icelandic Cup

Arbaer vs Olafsvik

Possession: 51% - 49% Cards: 4 - 1

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arbaer Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanabria A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Thrandarson E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.79

Avg xA / game 1.17

Olafsvik Compare

Top Goalscorer Gudjonsson B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arbaer 47 / 100

Olafsvik 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Arbaer Olafsvik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Arbaer or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19%

2.38

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7.9%

1.30

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Arbaer attacking → ← attacking Olafsvik

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arbaer scored in 87% of their last 15 games.

Olafsvik let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Arbaer went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Olafsvik lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 44

2.33 Goals expected (xG) 2.00

3.33 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13