Sport Picks
Match Events
23'
23'
Gudlaugsson S.
30'
30'
Tyler J.
80'
80'
Aronsson A.
AI Match Summary
Arbaer in this Icelandic Cup 2024 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arbaer
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
28%
/ Low Confidence
- Arbaer haven't matched Arborg's recent run of results.
- 28% — that's where the model lands on Arborg taking it.
- Arborg have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Arbaer, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Arborg Clean Sheet 11%
Arbaer Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arborg | Arbaer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 15 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 20 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.23 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.21 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 13, 2024 Icelandic Cup
Arborg vs Arbaer
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arborg Compare
Top Goalscorer Gudlaugsson S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.7
Avg xA / game 1.1
Arbaer Compare
Top Goalscorer Tyler J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Aronsson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arborg 83 / 100
Arbaer 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arborg Arbaer
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Arborg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arbaer's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 15 matches.
Arborg's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Arbaer lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Arborg VS Arbaer
2.43 Goals Scored 1.75
1.86 Goals Conceded 2
71% Over 1.5 100%
71% Over 2.5 88%
57% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Arborg
(Home) 22 Mar
Olafsvik
3 : 2 Arborg
28 Mar
Arborg
0 : 4 Augnablik
13 Apr
Arborg
1 : 2 Arbaer
06 Apr
Arborg
12 : 0 Reynir Hellissandur
19 Jul
Arborg
0 : 1 IH Hafnarfjordur
Page 1 of 6
28 Mar
Arborg
0 : 4 Augnablik
13 Apr
Arborg
1 : 2 Arbaer
06 Apr
Arborg
12 : 0 Reynir Hellissandur
19 Jul
Arborg
0 : 1 IH Hafnarfjordur
06 Apr
Arborg
1 : 3 Kari
Page 1 of 4
Arbaer
(Away) 05 Apr
Arbaer
1 : 7 Aegir
28 Mar
Lettir
3 : 5 Arbaer
19 Mar
Arbaer
1 : 0 Hafnir
16 Jul
Arbaer
3 : 4 Kormakur/Hvot
04 Apr
Kari
8 : 1 Arbaer
Page 1 of 3
28 Mar
Lettir
3 : 5 Arbaer
04 Apr
Kari
8 : 1 Arbaer
21 Sept
Selfoss
4 : 1 Arbaer
06 Aug
Vaengirs
1 : 3 Arbaer
13 Apr
Arborg
1 : 2 Arbaer
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
Alafoss 0
KFG Gardabaer 6
Hamar 2
Hviti 5
TBD -
Grindavik -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KFR 4
KFK Kopavogur 8
Vidir 2
Sindri 1
Spyrnir 0
Hottur / Huginn 5
TBD -
Volsungur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
Vaengirs 6
Hordur Isafjordur 2
TBD -
Throttur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kopavogur -
KH Hlidarendi 5
Reynir 1
TBD -
Fjolnir -
Selfoss -
Stokkseyri -
Kari 5
IBU 0
Grotta -
TBD -
TBD -
Njardvik -
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
KFA -
Augnablik 7
Alftanes 1
SR Reykjavik 2
Kormakur/Hvot 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stjarnan -
Throttur Vogar 1
KA Asvellir 3
Midas 1
RB Keflavik 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KV Reykjavik 3
KFS 0
TBD -
IR Reykjavik -
Skallagrimur 1
Aegir 3
Haukar 20
Afrika Reykjavik 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vestri -
Arborg 12
Reynir Hellissandur 0
Smari 2
Arbaer 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fram -
Lettir 2
IH Hafnarfjordur 7
Ymir 11
Thorlakur 0
Hafnir 12
KM Reykjavik 0
Kria 1
Ulfarnir 2
Ellidi 0
Olafsvik 3
TBD -
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Akranes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tindastoll 7
Samherjar 0
TBD -
Magni -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Afturelding -
Dalvik/Reynir -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjallabyggd -
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
1/32-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5
KFG Gardabaer 1
Hviti 0
Grindavik 3
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
KFK Kopavogur 0
Vidir 3
Hottur / Huginn 2
Volsungur 0
TBD -
Fylkir -
Vaengirs 1
Throttur 7
TBD -
Kopavogur -
KH Hlidarendi 2
Fjolnir 4
Selfoss 3
Kari 1
Grotta 3
Njardvik 2
Thor Akureyri 5
KFA 1
Augnablik 5
Kormakur/Hvot 2
TBD -
Stjarnan -
KA Asvellir 6
RB Keflavik 3
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
KV Reykjavik 1
IR Reykjavik 7
Aegir 2
Haukar 3
TBD -
Vestri -
Arborg 1
Arbaer 2
TBD -
Fram -
IH Hafnarfjordur 5
Ymir 4
Hafnir 3
Ulfarnir 0
Olafsvik 2
Keflavik 3
TBD -
Breidablik -
Akranes -
TBD -
Tindastoll 2
Magni 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Afturelding 4
Dalvik/Reynir 2
Fjallabyggd 0
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
1/16-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1
Grindavik 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
Vidir 1
Hottur / Huginn 0
Fylkir 1
Throttur 1
Kopavogur 2
Fjolnir 4
Selfoss 2
Grotta 0
Thor Akureyri 3
Augnablik 1
Stjarnan 2
KA Asvellir 2
KR Reykjavik 9
KA Akureyri 2
IR Reykjavik 1
Haukar 2
Vestri 4
Arbaer 0
Fram 3
IH Hafnarfjordur 4
Hafnir 2
Keflavik 2
Breidablik 1
Akranes 3
Tindastoll 0
Afturelding 4
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Valur 3
Hafnarfjordur 0
1/8-finals
Grindavik 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
Fylkir 3
Kopavogur 1
Fjolnir 0
Thor Akureyri 2
Stjarnan 5
KR Reykjavik 3
KA Akureyri 3
Vestri 1
Fram 3
IH Hafnarfjordur 0
Keflavik 3
Akranes 1
Afturelding 1
Valur 3
Quarter-finals
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Fylkir 1
Thor Akureyri 0
Stjarnan 1
KA Akureyri 3
Fram 0
Keflavik 3
Valur 4
Semi-finals
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Stjarnan 1
KA Akureyri 3
Valur 2
Final
Vikingur Reykjavik 0
KA Akureyri 2
