Sport Picks
Match Events
120'
120'
Bjornsson K.
AI Match Summary
Arborg in this Icelandic Cup 2020 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Augnablik
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Augnablik lately — more wins on the board than Arborg.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Arborg taking it.
- Augnablik arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Augnablik, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
- Augnablik have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Arborg Clean Sheet 10%
Augnablik Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arborg | Augnablik |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 16 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 20 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 3.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.23 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 28, 2025 Icelandic Cup
Arborg vs Augnablik
0:4
Jun 7, 2020 Icelandic Cup
Arborg vs Augnablik
1:0
Apr 13, 2019 Icelandic Cup
Augnablik vs Arborg
8:1
Apr 30, 2016 Icelandic Cup
Augnablik vs Arborg
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arborg 40 / 100
Augnablik 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arborg Augnablik
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Attacking prowess: Arborg scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Augnablik's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
Away concern: Augnablik has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Arborg VS Augnablik
2.13 Goals Scored 3
2 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Arborg
(Home) 22 Mar
Olafsvik
3 : 2 Arborg
28 Mar
Arborg
0 : 4 Augnablik
13 Apr
Arborg
1 : 2 Arbaer
06 Apr
Arborg
12 : 0 Reynir Hellissandur
19 Jul
Arborg
0 : 1 IH Hafnarfjordur
Page 1 of 6
28 Mar
Arborg
0 : 4 Augnablik
13 Apr
Arborg
1 : 2 Arbaer
06 Apr
Arborg
12 : 0 Reynir Hellissandur
19 Jul
Arborg
0 : 1 IH Hafnarfjordur
06 Apr
Arborg
1 : 3 Kari
Page 1 of 4
Augnablik
(Away) 27 Mar
Selfoss
7 : 1 Augnablik
22 Mar
Augnablik
12 : 1 IBU
11 Apr
Augnablik
0 : 5 IR Reykjavik
28 Mar
Arborg
0 : 4 Augnablik
06 Aug
Augnablik
1 : 3 KFA
Page 1 of 6
27 Mar
Selfoss
7 : 1 Augnablik
28 Mar
Arborg
0 : 4 Augnablik
17 Jul
Fjallabyggd
1 : 2 Augnablik
02 Apr
SR Reykjavik
1 : 5 Augnablik
08 Apr
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 2 Augnablik
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Midas 4
KM Reykjavik 1
SR Reykjavik 2
IBU 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Kordrengir -
Skandinavia -
Kria 2
Hamar 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Fjallabyggd 2
TBD -
Magni -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kopavogur -
KFG Gardabaer 7
KB Breidholt 1
Vatnaliljur 0
Afturelding 12
Smari 0
Njardvik 4
Arborg 1
Augnablik 0
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Keflavik -
TBD -
Isbjorninn 4
Bjorninn 5
Grotta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hottur / Huginn 2
Sindri 1
TBD -
Fjardabyggd -
Vaengirs 3
KH Hlidarendi 1
KFB 1
Vidir 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
Fjolnir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hviti 2
KFS 1
Selfoss 5
Snaefell 0
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
KV Reykjavik 0
Kari 3
Grindavik -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Tindastoll 2
Kormakur/Hvot 1
Samherjar 3
Nokkvi 0
Haukar 3
Ellidi 1
Alftanes 0
Fram 4
Skallagrimur 0
Ymir 2
IR Reykjavik 3
KA Asvellir 1
IH Hafnarfjordur 3
Berserkir 1
KFR 0
GG Grindavik 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
Throttur 1
Alafoss 0
Hordur Isafjordur 1
Vestri 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Volsungur -
TBD -
TBD -
Thor Akureyri -
Stokkseyri 3
Afrika Reykjavik 1
Lettir 1
Reynir 9
Throttur Vogar 2
Aegir 1
TBD -
Olafsvik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Faskruds -
TBD -
TBD -
Einherji -
1/32-finals
Midas 0
SR Reykjavik 4
TBD -
Valur -
Kordrengir 6
Hamar 0
TBD -
Akranes -
Fjallabyggd 2
Magni 3
TBD -
Kopavogur -
KFG Gardabaer 0
Afturelding 5
Njardvik 1
Arborg 2
Breidablik -
TBD -
Keflavik 5
Bjorninn 0
Grotta -
TBD -
Hottur / Huginn 2
Fjardabyggd 1
Vaengirs 2
Vidir 1
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
Fjolnir -
TBD -
Hviti 0
Selfoss 1
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik 5
Kari 0
Grindavik 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5
Tindastoll 2
Samherjar 1
Haukar 1
Fram 2
Ymir 1
IR Reykjavik 4
IH Hafnarfjordur 3
GG Grindavik 0
TBD -
Fylkir -
Throttur 3
Vestri 1
TBD -
Samherjar -
Volsungur 2
Thor Akureyri 3
Stokkseyri 2
Reynir 8
Throttur Vogar 1
Olafsvik 2
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
Leiknir Faskruds 3
Einherji 1
1/16-finals
SR Reykjavik 0
Valur 3
Kordrengir 2
Akranes 3
Magni 1
Kopavogur 2
Afturelding 3
Arborg 0
Breidablik 3
Keflavik 2
Grotta 3
Hottur / Huginn 0
Vaengirs 1
KR Reykjavik 8
Fjolnir 3
Selfoss 2
KA Akureyri 6
Leiknir Reykjavik 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 7
Tindastoll 0
Fram 3
IR Reykjavik 1
IH Hafnarfjordur 0
Fylkir 8
Throttur 1
Hafnarfjordur 2
Thor Akureyri 2
Reynir 1
Olafsvik 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Stjarnan 3
Leiknir Faskruds 0
1/8-finals
Valur 3
Akranes 1
Kopavogur 6
Afturelding 2
Breidablik 3
Grotta 0
KR Reykjavik 2
Fjolnir 0
KA Akureyri 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3
Fram 2
Fylkir 1
Hafnarfjordur 3
Thor Akureyri 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 1
Stjarnan 2
Quarter-finals
Valur 2
Kopavogur 1
Breidablik 2
KR Reykjavik 4
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Fram 1
Hafnarfjordur 3
Stjarnan 0
Semi-finals
Valur -
KR Reykjavik -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Hafnarfjordur -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
