Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Arbroath host Ayr in the Championship. This one's hard to separate. Ayr have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while Arbroath have conceded 1.28 and scored 0.93. Head-to-head, Arbroath have won 0 to Ayr's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Aug 1, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.19 - 1.25) back Ayr to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Ayr have won more games recently than Arbroath.
- Win probability leans Ayr's way, sitting at 70%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arbroath | Ayr |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Ayr conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Arbroath scored in 52% of their last 29 games.
Solid form: Arbroath remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Arbroath
(Home)Ayr
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 22 |
| 2 | Raith | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:6 | 20 |
| 3 | Partick | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 10:3 | 18 |
| 4 | Livingston | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:11 | 13 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7:5 | 13 |
| 6 | Inverness | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 7 | Ayr | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7:15 | 11 |
| 9 | Queen's Park | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6:16 | 7 |
| 10 | Morton | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7:18 | 4 |
