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Arbroath vs Hearts

World World

Club Friendly
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AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Arbroath and Hearts finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hearts.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Arbroath
20%
Draws
47%
Hearts
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hearts

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hearts come out ahead of Arbroath on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Hearts taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Arbroath Clean Sheet 10%
Hearts Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arbroath Hearts
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 17
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.93 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Arbroath vs Hearts
1:2
Mar 20, 2021 Championship
Arbroath vs Hearts
0:0
Dec 29, 2020 Championship
Hearts vs Arbroath
3:1
Oct 23, 2020 Championship
Arbroath vs Hearts
0:1
Jun 29, 2019 Club Friendly
Arbroath vs Hearts
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arbroath 10 / 100
Hearts 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arbroath Hearts

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hearts Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hearts conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Arbroath went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Arbroath's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Arbroath VS Hearts
0.75 Goals Scored 2.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Arbroath

(Home)
25 Sept
Arbroath
2 : 1
Queen's Park
19 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0
Arbroath
12 Sept
Raith
4 : 0
Arbroath
05 Sept
Arbroath
1 : 1
Dunfermline
29 Aug
Arbroath
1 : 0
Livingston
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Hearts

(Away)
19 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 1
Hearts
15 Sept
Falkirk
2 : 1
Hearts
11 Sept
Stenhousemuir
0 : 3
Hearts
06 Sept
Hearts
2 : 1
Dundee FC
03 Sept
Hibernian
1 : 3
Hearts
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