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Arbroath vs Hearts

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Arbroath and Hearts finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hearts.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Arbroath
39%
Draws
31%
Hearts
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hearts come out ahead of Arbroath on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Arbroath Clean Sheet 16%
Hearts Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arbroath Hearts
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 17
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Arbroath vs Hearts
1:2
Mar 20, 2021 Championship
Arbroath vs Hearts
0:0
Dec 29, 2020 Championship
Hearts vs Arbroath
3:1
Oct 23, 2020 Championship
Arbroath vs Hearts
0:1
Jun 29, 2019 Club Friendly
Arbroath vs Hearts
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arbroath 30 / 100
Hearts 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arbroath Hearts

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arbroath found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Hearts has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Arbroath stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arbroath VS Hearts
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Arbroath

(Home)
18 Jul
Dundee Utd
3 : 0
Arbroath
14 Jul
Arbroath
1 : 2
Hearts
11 Jul
Spartans
1 : 2
Arbroath
04 Jul
Arbroath
4 : 1
Brechin
30 Jun
Dunipace
0 : 4
Arbroath
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Hearts

(Away)
17 Jul
Hearts
2 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
14 Jul
Arbroath
1 : 2
Hearts
10 Jul
Livingston
2 : 1
Hearts
16 May
Celtic
3 : 1
Hearts
13 May
Hearts
3 : 0
Falkirk
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