Sport Picks
Arbroath vs Kelty Hearts
Scotland
Challenge Cup 2025/2026 Gayfield Park 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Arbroath in this Challenge Cup 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arbroath.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Arbroath have won more games recently than Kelty Hearts.
- Model gives Arbroath a 60% chance of winning this.
- Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arbroath | Kelty Hearts |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 8 | 6 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arbroath Compare
Kelty Hearts Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kelty Hearts let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Arbroath scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.
Recent resilience: Arbroath stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.