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Arbroath vs Raith - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Championship Gayfield Park, Arbroath
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arbroath host Raith in the Championship. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Arbroath have averaged 0.93 scored and 1.28 conceded recently, against Raith's 1.57 scored and 1.03 conceded. Past meetings favor Arbroath slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 12, 2026, ending 4:0. xG projections (0.69 - 1.38) back Raith to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Arbroath
15%
Draws
65%
Raith
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Raith

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Raith have won more games recently than Arbroath.
  • Model gives Raith a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Arbroath Clean Sheet 17%
Raith Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arbroath Raith
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 16
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.93 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Championship
Raith vs Arbroath
4:0
Apr 18, 2026 Championship
Arbroath vs Raith
2:1
Jan 10, 2026 Championship
Raith vs Arbroath
2:3
Nov 22, 2025 Championship
Arbroath vs Raith
0:0
Sep 27, 2025 Championship
Raith vs Arbroath
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arbroath 10 / 100
Raith 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arbroath Raith

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Raith Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Raith has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Arbroath scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Arbroath stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arbroath VS Raith
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Arbroath

(Home)
10 Oct
Arbroath
1 : 2
Morton
03 Oct
Partick
3 : 0
Arbroath
25 Sept
Arbroath
2 : 1
Queen's Park
19 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0
Arbroath
12 Sept
Raith
4 : 0
Arbroath
Page 1 of 6

Raith

(Away)
10 Oct
Raith
2 : 0
Queen's Park
03 Oct
Morton
1 : 2
Raith
25 Sept
Raith
0 : 2
Livingston
19 Sept
Partick
0 : 0
Raith
12 Sept
Raith
4 : 0
Arbroath
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 9 7 1 1 12:4 22
2 Raith 10 6 2 2 15:6 20
3 Partick 9 5 3 1 10:3 18
4 Livingston 10 4 1 5 14:11 13
5 Dunfermline 8 3 4 1 7:5 13
6 Inverness 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
7 Ayr 10 3 3 4 10:11 12
8 Arbroath 10 3 2 5 7:15 11
9 Queen's Park 10 2 1 7 6:16 7
10 Morton 10 1 1 8 7:18 4
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)