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Arbroath vs St. Mirren

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Dow R.
20' Event
Idowu R.
(Penalty)
32' Event
Idowu R.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Arbroath and St. Mirren finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Mirren.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Arbroath
20%
Draws
38%
St. Mirren
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arbroath

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • St. Mirren carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Arbroath a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Arbroath Clean Sheet 20%
St. Mirren Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arbroath St. Mirren
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 9 5
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Arbroath vs St. Mirren
2:4
Jul 12, 2025 League Cup
Arbroath vs St. Mirren
1:0
Jul 22, 2023 League Cup
St. Mirren vs Arbroath
4:0
Jul 9, 2022 League Cup
St. Mirren vs Arbroath
0:1
Apr 5, 2003 Championship
St. Mirren vs Arbroath
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arbroath Compare

Top Goalscorer Dow R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Reilly G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

St. Mirren Compare

Top Goalscorer Idowu R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Richardson J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arbroath 42 / 100
St. Mirren 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arbroath St. Mirren

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arbroath's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

St. Mirren has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Arbroath remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Arbroath VS St. Mirren
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%