Sport Picks

Scotland

League Cup Gayfield Park, Arbroath

Arbroath

1 - 0

Stirling

Our Tip

Match Events

Denham S.

26'

Sub

Paterson B. In: Mackie S.

Out: Paterson B.

54'

Thomas M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

Arbroath

20%

Draws

34%

Stirling

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arbroath

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence

Arbroath have won more games recently than Stirling.
46% — that's where the model lands on Arbroath taking it.
Arbroath have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Arbroath, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Arbroath Clean Sheet 19%

Stirling Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Arbroath	Stirling
Matches Played	28	27
Wins	9	7
Draws	9	6
Losses	10	14
Goals Scored	1.04	1.41
Goals Conceded	1.18	2.04
Expected Goals (xG)	1.35	1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 League Cup

Arbroath vs Stirling

1:0

Oct 6, 2020 League Cup

Stirling vs Arbroath

1:2

Jul 17, 2019 League Cup

Stirling vs Arbroath

1:6

May 6, 2017 League Two

Stirling vs Arbroath

1:1

Feb 18, 2017 League Two

Arbroath vs Stirling

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arbroath Compare

Top Goalscorer Dow R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.04

Avg xA / game 0.68

Stirling Compare

Avg xG / game 1.13

Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arbroath 49 / 100

Stirling 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Arbroath Stirling

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arbroath Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stirling has conceded goals in 89% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Arbroath has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Stirling registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arbroath VS Stirling

0.57 Goals Scored 1.63

0.86 Goals Conceded 2.13

43% Over 1.5 100%

29% Over 2.5 75%

14% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Arbroath

(Home)

12 Sept

Raith

4 : 0

Arbroath

05 Sept

Arbroath

1 : 1

Dunfermline

29 Aug

Arbroath

1 : 0

Livingston

22 Aug

Morton

1 : 2

Arbroath

08 Aug

Arbroath

0 : 0

Inverness

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Stirling

(Away)

12 Sept

Edinburgh City

7 : 3

Stirling

08 Sept

Stirling

3 : 2

Rangers B

05 Sept

Stirling

0 : 2

Spartans

29 Aug

Elgin City

4 : 0

Stirling

25 Aug

Airdrieonians

1 : 3

Stirling

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