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Arbroath vs Stirling

Scotland Scotland

League Cup Gayfield Park
Sat, Jul 25, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arbroath host Stirling in the League Cup. This one's hard to separate. Arbroath have averaged 1.5 scored and 0.88 conceded recently, against Stirling's 1 scored and 1.38 conceded. Past meetings favor Arbroath slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 6, 2020, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 0.94) point toward Arbroath. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Arbroath
28%
Draws
22%
Stirling
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Arbroath

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Arbroath have won more games recently than Stirling.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Arbroath taking it.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Arbroath Clean Sheet 20%
Stirling Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arbroath Stirling
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2020 League Cup
Stirling vs Arbroath
1:2
Jul 17, 2019 League Cup
Stirling vs Arbroath
1:6
May 6, 2017 League Two
Stirling vs Arbroath
1:1
Feb 18, 2017 League Two
Arbroath vs Stirling
1:1
Nov 19, 2016 League Two
Stirling vs Arbroath
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arbroath 49 / 100
Stirling 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arbroath Stirling

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stirling's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Arbroath scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Arbroath has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arbroath VS Stirling
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

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