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Arcahaie vs Verdes

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF League 2020
Wed, Oct 21, 2020
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the CONCACAF League 2020. This has Arcahaie written all over it on paper. Verdes have shipped 3.6 goals a game lately, while Arcahaie have conceded 1.04 and scored 0.96. Past meetings favor Arcahaie slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 21, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.25) point toward Arcahaie. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Arcahaie
20%
Draws
0%
Verdes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arcahaie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Verdes haven't matched Arcahaie's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Arcahaie's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Arcahaie have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Arcahaie Clean Sheet 68%
Verdes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arcahaie Verdes
Matches Played 28 25
Wins 12 1
Draws 7 3
Losses 9 21
Goals Scored 0.96 0.52
Goals Conceded 1.04 3.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2020 CONCACAF League
Arcahaie vs Verdes
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arcahaie 95 / 100
Verdes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arcahaie Verdes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arcahaie Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Verdes has conceded goals in 92% of their last 24 outings.

Verdes's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Arcahaie went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Arcahaie found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (27 games).

Scoring Trends

Arcahaie VS Verdes
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Arcahaie

(Home)
16 May
Arcahaie
0 : 2
Waterhouse
13 May
Vega Real
2 : 1
Arcahaie
30 May
Ouanaminthe
0 : 3
Arcahaie
16 May
Triomphe Liancourt
1 : 1
Arcahaie
13 May
Fica
0 : 0
Arcahaie
Page 1 of 6

Verdes

(Away)
19 Aug
Cartagines
4 : 0
Verdes
13 Aug
FAS
4 : 1
Verdes
07 Aug
Verdes
0 : 1
Municipal
29 Jul
Verdes
0 : 5
Motagua
21 Aug
Cartagines
8 : 1
Verdes
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Herediano -
TBD -
TBD -
Esteli -
San Francisco -
TBD -
Alajuelense 3
Cibao 0
Olimpia -
TBD -
FAS 1
Managua FC 2
Alianza FC -
TBD -
Motagua 3
Comunicaciones 2
Marathon -
TBD -
Independiente 0
Antigua 1
Saprissa -
TBD -
TBD -
Municipal -
Waterhouse -
TBD -
Arcahaie -
Verdes -
Tauro -
TBD -
Municipal Limeno 1
Forge FC 2
1/8-finals
Herediano 0
Esteli 1
San Francisco 0
Alajuelense 1
Olimpia 6
Managua FC 0
Alianza FC 1
Motagua 2
Marathon 2
Antigua 1
Saprissa 4
Municipal 1
Waterhouse 1
Arcahaie 3
Tauro 1
Forge FC 2
Quarter-finals
Esteli 1
Alajuelense 2
Olimpia 2
Motagua 0
Marathon 0
Saprissa 2
Arcahaie 2
Forge FC 1
Semi-finals
Alajuelense 1
Olimpia 0
Saprissa 5
Arcahaie 0
Final
Alajuelense 3
Saprissa 2