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Arconatese vs Clivense

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Ronzoni L.
52' Event
Ronzoni L.
59' Event
Quaggio A.

AI Match Summary

Arconatese in this Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arconatese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Arconatese
20%
Draws
57%
Clivense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Clivense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Clivense have won more games recently than Arconatese.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Arconatese Clean Sheet 20%
Clivense Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arconatese Clivense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.1 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Arconatese vs Clivense
4:0
Dec 20, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Clivense vs Arconatese
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arconatese Compare

Top Goalscorer Ronzoni L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Quaggio A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Clivense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arconatese 32 / 100
Clivense 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arconatese Clivense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Arconatese scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Clivense conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Arconatese went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arconatese VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arconatese

(Home)
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1
Arconatese
13 Aug
Arconatese
2 : 2
AC Leon
04 May
Breno
4 : 1
Arconatese
27 Apr
Arconatese
2 : 1
Chievo
17 Apr
Sangiuliano City
3 : 0
Arconatese
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Clivense

(Away)
05 May
Arconatese
4 : 0
Clivense
28 Apr
Clivense
2 : 1
Castellanzese
21 Apr
Clivense
2 : 0
Brusaporto
14 Apr
Piacenza
0 : 0
Clivense
07 Apr
Clivense
1 : 0
Caravaggio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caldiero Terme 38 23 8 7 55:32 77
2 Piacenza 38 22 8 8 69:35 74
3 Pro Palazzolo 38 21 10 7 49:26 73
4 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:28 69
5 Varesina 38 20 8 10 73:49 68
6 Arconatese 38 21 5 12 58:38 68
7 Brusaporto 38 15 9 14 55:54 54
8 Clivense 38 14 11 13 38:47 53
9 Villa Valle 38 15 8 15 50:44 53
10 Folgore Caratese 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
11 USD Casatese 38 13 12 13 53:53 51
12 Caravaggio 38 12 10 16 44:51 46
13 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 13 6 19 49:58 45
14 Club Milano 38 11 12 15 41:44 45
15 Real Calepina 38 11 11 16 38:47 44
16 Legnano 38 11 9 18 34:50 42
17 Castellanzese 38 9 12 17 36:51 39
18 Crema 38 9 9 20 25:48 36
19 Tritium 38 6 11 21 27:57 29
20 Ponte San Pietro 38 5 9 24 31:63 24
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Out)