Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arconatese vs Franciacorta

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Chessa M.
45' Event
Boschetti A.
66' Event
Chessa M.

AI Match Summary

Arconatese in this Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arconatese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Arconatese
30%
Draws
54%
Franciacorta
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Franciacorta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Franciacorta lately — more wins on the board than Arconatese.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Franciacorta taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Arconatese Clean Sheet 20%
Franciacorta Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arconatese Franciacorta
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 9 11
Draws 11 10
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.21 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Arconatese vs Franciacorta
2:1
Dec 11, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Franciacorta vs Arconatese
4:4
Mar 26, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Franciacorta vs Arconatese
4:1
Nov 7, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Arconatese vs Franciacorta
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arconatese Compare

Top Goalscorer Chessa M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Franciacorta Compare

Top Goalscorer Boschetti A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arconatese 20 / 100
Franciacorta 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arconatese Franciacorta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Franciacorta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Arconatese scored in 62% of their last 34 outings.

Defensive concern: Franciacorta conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Arconatese remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Arconatese VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arconatese

(Home)
27 Sept
Pavia
1 : 1
Arconatese
20 Sept
Arconatese
0 : 3
Pro Patria
16 Sept
Pistoiese
5 : 0
Arconatese
12 Sept
Arconatese
1 : 1
Correggese
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1
Arconatese
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Franciacorta

(Away)
07 May
Brusaporto
1 : 0
Franciacorta
30 Apr
Franciacorta
0 : 0
Varese FC
23 Apr
Arconatese
2 : 1
Franciacorta
16 Apr
Franciacorta
2 : 0
Breno
06 Apr
Villa Valle
0 : 1
Franciacorta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lumezzane 34 24 5 5 67:20 77
2 Alcione Milano 34 21 8 5 67:31 71
3 USD Casatese 34 16 11 7 38:26 59
4 Arconatese 34 16 9 9 54:37 57
5 Desenzano Calvina 34 15 8 11 47:41 53
6 Franciacorta 34 13 11 10 44:43 50
7 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 16 7 47:38 49
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 14 6 14 42:40 48
9 Brusaporto 34 12 11 11 43:38 47
10 Varesina 34 13 7 14 47:50 46
11 Villa Valle 34 9 14 11 40:47 41
12 Real Calepina 34 7 18 9 30:33 39
13 Folgore Caratese 34 10 9 15 37:46 39
14 Seregno Calcio 34 10 11 13 42:56 38
15 Breno 34 10 7 17 35:50 37
16 Varese FC 34 8 9 17 30:46 33
17 Sona 34 6 9 19 28:56 27
18 Caronnese 34 2 9 23 24:64 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Out)