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Stadium Background

Arconatese vs Ospitaletto

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Messaggi C.
13' Event
Sette N.
19' Event
Gritti M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 game between Arconatese and Ospitaletto finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ospitaletto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Arconatese
30%
Draws
47%
Ospitaletto
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ospitaletto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ospitaletto come out ahead of Arconatese on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ospitaletto a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Arconatese Clean Sheet 17%
Ospitaletto Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arconatese Ospitaletto
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 8 10
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 0.93 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Arconatese vs Ospitaletto
2:4
Sep 29, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Ospitaletto vs Arconatese
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arconatese Compare

Top Goalscorer Sette N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Ospitaletto Compare

Top Goalscorer Messaggi C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gritti M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arconatese 23 / 100
Ospitaletto 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arconatese Ospitaletto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ospitaletto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Ospitaletto has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Arconatese found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Arconatese has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arconatese VS Ospitaletto
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arconatese

(Home)
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1
Arconatese
13 Aug
Arconatese
2 : 2
AC Leon
04 May
Breno
4 : 1
Arconatese
27 Apr
Arconatese
2 : 1
Chievo
17 Apr
Sangiuliano City
3 : 0
Arconatese
Page 1 of 6

Ospitaletto

(Away)
06 Sept
Ospitaletto
3 : 1
Arzignano
31 Aug
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 1
Ospitaletto
22 Aug
Ospitaletto
2 : 0
Lumezzane
14 Aug
Trento
2 : 1
Ospitaletto
08 Aug
Rovato Vertovese
2 : 2
Ospitaletto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ospitaletto 38 21 12 5 66:34 75
2 Pro Palazzolo 38 20 10 8 69:36 70
3 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:29 69
4 USD Casatese 38 19 11 8 58:34 68
5 Folgore Caratese 38 20 8 10 66:42 68
6 Varesina 38 17 13 8 61:44 64
7 Chievo 38 16 9 13 49:37 57
8 Pro Sesto 38 13 13 12 45:43 52
9 Club Milano 38 14 7 17 44:50 49
10 Sant'Angelo 38 11 15 12 41:41 48
11 Sondrio 38 12 11 15 39:51 47
12 Breno 38 11 14 13 42:53 47
13 Castellanzese 38 10 16 12 43:53 46
14 Vigasio 38 11 12 15 39:41 45
15 Sangiuliano City 38 11 12 15 39:46 45
16 Crema 38 11 11 16 48:57 44
17 Magenta 38 8 12 18 33:53 36
18 Fanfulla 38 6 14 18 28:57 32
19 Ciliverghe Mazzano 38 7 10 21 41:70 31
20 Arconatese 38 7 10 21 33:64 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 (Play Offs)