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Arconatese vs Varese

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Serie D - Group A 2017/2018
Arconatese Logo

Arconatese

1 - 1
FT
Varese Logo

Varese

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Arconatese
30%
Draws
47%
Varese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Varese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arconatese lately — more wins on the board than Varese.
  • Varese are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Arconatese Clean Sheet 20%
Varese Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arconatese Varese
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 11 15
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.05 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Arconatese vs Varese
1:1
Oct 14, 2017 Serie D - Group A
Varese vs Arconatese
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arconatese 20 / 100
Varese 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arconatese Varese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arconatese scored in 62% of their last 37 games.

Varese let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Varese registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arconatese VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arconatese

(Home)
16 Sept
Pistoiese
5 : 0
Arconatese
12 Sept
Arconatese
1 : 1
Correggese
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1
Arconatese
13 Aug
Arconatese
2 : 2
AC Leon
04 May
Breno
4 : 1
Arconatese
Page 1 of 8

Varese

(Away)
13 May
OltrepoVoghera
2 : 0
Varese
06 May
Varesina
2 : 1
Varese
29 Apr
Varese
1 : 1
AC Chieri
22 Apr
Varese
2 : 0
Castellazzo
15 Apr
Seregno Calcio
2 : 1
Varese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gozzano 38 25 7 6 68:25 82
2 Como 38 25 6 7 58:27 81
3 Caronnese 38 21 11 6 62:30 74
4 AC Chieri 38 19 14 5 64:37 71
5 Pro Sesto 38 20 7 11 69:43 67
6 Folgore Caratese 38 14 14 10 45:39 56
7 Inveruno 38 14 10 14 44:48 52
8 Borgosesia Calcio 38 14 9 15 40:39 51
9 Arconatese 38 14 8 16 37:46 50
10 Bra 38 13 10 15 45:51 49
11 Pavia 38 12 11 15 53:58 47
12 Borgaro 38 11 13 14 35:44 46
13 Olginatese 38 9 18 11 37:44 45
14 Seregno Calcio 38 10 14 14 45:54 44
15 OltrepoVoghera 38 9 16 13 34:47 43
16 Casale 38 10 12 16 41:48 42
17 Varesina 38 10 11 17 33:45 41
18 Varese 38 8 16 14 47:49 40
19 Calcio Derthona 38 5 11 22 25:62 26
20 Castellazzo 38 3 10 25 32:78 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)